Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T17:22:26+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

78
0x78d2…d224
sports · 405 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$271 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$270 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$7
Realized−$270
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)41%
Wins / losses167 / 236
Est. fees paid−$122
Open positions2
Markets (closed)403 / 405
History coverage57d
Avg bet$19
Trades / day38.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit93%
Chart Positions 2 History 403 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$5
7 days+$4
14 days+$8
30 days+$1
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ilkley: Jacob Fearnley vs Filippo Romano Jacob Fearnley 90¢ 88¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-3%)
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Alicia Dudeney vs Yulia Putintseva Alicia Dudeney 77¢ 62¢ $4 $3 −$1 (-19%)
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jasmine Paolini vs Leolia Jeanjean Leolia Jeanjean 34¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockies Yes 37¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Will White House post 0-19 posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jacob Fearnley vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard Jacob Fearnley 51¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Will White House post 40-59 posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Cincinnati Reds vs. Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays 53¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Lyon: David Jorda Sanchis vs Tristan Boyer Tristan Boyer 81¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Colorado Rockies vs. New York Mets New York Mets 64¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Will White House post 20-39 posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will the Boston Celtics win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals? Yes 46¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Cordoba: Guido Justo vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi 42¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Clara Tauson vs Oleksandra Oliynykova Clara Tauson 40¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Athletics vs. Texas Rangers Athletics 45¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Detroit Tigers vs. Boston Red Sox Detroit Tigers 44¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 15? Down 49¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by April 30? No 39¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Cattolica: Dusan Lajovic vs Jonas Forejtek Jonas Forejtek 77¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Cavaliers vs. Raptors Cavaliers 61¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros Houston Astros 44¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Felix Balshaw Jun 13 $15 −$5 -33%
Tucuman: Johan Alexander Rodriguez vs Nicolas Kicker Jun 13 $14 +$2 +17%
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Enrico Dalla Valle Jun 13 $4 −$3 -88%
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Panna Udvardy vs Katie Volynets Jun 13 $5 $0 +11%
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Daria Kasatkina vs Anna Blinkova Jun 13 $5 +$1 +31%
Halle Open, Qualification: Tiago Pereira vs Tom Gentzsch Jun 13 $5 $0 +11%
Lyon: David Jorda Sanchis vs Tristan Boyer Jun 13 $4 −$4 -99%
Stuttgart Open: Alexander Bublik vs Taylor Fritz Jun 13 $4 +$1 +32%
Ilkley: Ashlyn Krueger vs Darja Vidmanova Jun 13 $5 −$1 -12%
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Antonia Ruzic vs Kaja Juvan Jun 13 $4 −$1 -17%
Ilkley: Mark Lajal vs Yunchaokete Bu Jun 13 $4 +$1 +20%
Libema Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Magda Linette Jun 13 $4 −$1 -26%
Libema Open: Caty McNally vs Ajla Tomljanovic Jun 13 $4 +$1 +30%
Modena: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Laura Samson Jun 12 $5 $0 -9%
Modena: Nuria Brancaccio vs Lucia Bronzetti Jun 12 $5 +$1 +24%
Cattolica: Francesco Forti vs Andrea Guerrieri Jun 12 $5 +$5 +96%
Tucuman: Carlos Maria Zarate vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi Jun 12 $4 −$1 -22%
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak Jun 12 $8 +$2 +31%
Ilkley: Harmony Tan vs Lanlana Tararudee Jun 12 $5 −$1 -17%
Ilkley: Viktorija Golubic vs Katie Swan Jun 12 $8 $0 +3%
Ilkley: Darja Vidmanova vs Lucrezia Stefanini Jun 12 $5 +$1 +22%
Ilkley: Elizabeth Mandlik vs Dalma Galfi Jun 12 $4 −$1 -21%
Bratislava: Zdenek Kolar vs Federico Cina Jun 12 $9 −$1 -15%
Ilkley: Toby Samuel vs August Holmgren Jun 12 $4 −$1 -18%
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Leyre Romero Gormaz Jun 12 $12 −$1 -11%
Ilkley: Tatiana Prozorova vs Sinja Kraus Jun 12 $5 +$1 +14%
Ilkley: Henrique Rocha vs Darwin Blanch Jun 12 $5 −$1 -11%
Ilkley: Arthur Gea vs Mark Lajal Jun 12 $8 $0 -2%
Modena: Dominika Salkova vs Katarzyna Kawa Jun 12 $5 +$1 +14%
Ilkley: Lulu Sun vs Mary Stoiana Jun 12 $14 $0 -3%
Lyon: Tristan Boyer vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo Jun 12 $4 −$1 -13%
Libema Open: Caty McNally vs Solana Sierra Jun 12 $9 +$1 +6%
Libema Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Gabriela Ruse Jun 12 $12 $0 +2%
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Marco Cecchinato Jun 12 $9 $0 -0%
Lyon: Dali Blanch vs David Jorda Sanchis Jun 12 $5 −$1 -19%
Lyon: Thomas Faurel vs Clement Tabur Jun 11 $4 $0 +0%
Tucuman: Guido Justo vs Hernan Casanova Jun 11 $9 $0 -1%
Cattolica: Enrico Dalla Valle vs Carlos Sanchez Jover Jun 11 $4 −$1 -16%
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic Jun 11 $5 $0 -7%
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska Jun 11 $7 $0 +1%
Stuttgart Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Nick Kyrgios Jun 11 $4 $0 -8%
Lyon: Pedro Martinez vs Felix Balshaw Jun 11 $8 −$1 -19%
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Federico Bondioli Jun 11 $5 −$2 -38%
Modena: Leyre Romero Gormaz vs Mayar Sherif Jun 11 $8 $0 +0%
Bratislava: Maxim Mrva vs Chun-Hsin Tseng Jun 11 $9 +$1 +14%
Libema Open: Magda Linette vs Mia Pohankova Jun 11 $4 +$1 +14%
Stuttgart Open: Rinky Hijikata vs Frances Tiafoe Jun 11 $4 $0 +4%
Libema Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Arthur Rinderknech Jun 11 $4 $0 -6%
Cattolica: Alvaro Guillen Meza vs Ilia Simakin Jun 10 $8 −$8 -100%
Tucuman: Juan Bautista Torres vs Carlos Maria Zarate Jun 10 $9 +$2 +24%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 74% −$211
world 14% −$34
other 5% +$4
finance 4% −$13
politics 2% −$5
tech 1% −$3
crypto 0% −$10
weather 0% $0
economics 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Alicia Dudeney vs Yulia Putintseva BUY Alicia Dudeney 77¢ $4 0m
Ilkley: Jacob Fearnley vs Filippo Romano BUY Jacob Fearnley 90¢ $5 15m
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Felix Balshaw SELL Daniel Galan 47¢ $10 19m
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Felix Balshaw BUY Daniel Galan 70¢ $10 40m
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Felix Balshaw BUY Daniel Galan 68¢ $4 59m
Tucuman: Johan Alexander Rodriguez vs Nicolas Kicker SELL Johan Alexander Rodriguez 100¢ $16 1h
Tucuman: Johan Alexander Rodriguez vs Nicolas Kicker BUY Johan Alexander Rodriguez 91¢ $10 1h
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Enrico Dalla Valle SELL Enrico Dalla Valle 8¢ $0 2h
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Panna Udvardy vs Katie Volynets SELL Katie Volynets 100¢ $5 2h
Tucuman: Johan Alexander Rodriguez vs Nicolas Kicker BUY Johan Alexander Rodriguez 72¢ $4 2h
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Panna Udvardy vs Katie Volynets BUY Katie Volynets 90¢ $5 2h
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Enrico Dalla Valle BUY Enrico Dalla Valle 65¢ $4 3h
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Daria Kasatkina vs Anna Blinkova SELL Anna Blinkova 100¢ $6 3h
Halle Open, Qualification: Tiago Pereira vs Tom Gentzsch SELL Tom Gentzsch 100¢ $5 3h
Lyon: David Jorda Sanchis vs Tristan Boyer BUY Tristan Boyer 81¢ $4 4h
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Daria Kasatkina vs Anna Blinkova BUY Anna Blinkova 76¢ $5 4h
Stuttgart Open: Alexander Bublik vs Taylor Fritz SELL Taylor Fritz 100¢ $5 4h
Ilkley: Ashlyn Krueger vs Darja Vidmanova SELL Ashlyn Krueger 80¢ $4 4h
Ilkley: Ashlyn Krueger vs Darja Vidmanova BUY Ashlyn Krueger 90¢ $5 4h
Halle Open, Qualification: Tiago Pereira vs Tom Gentzsch BUY Tom Gentzsch 90¢ $5 4h
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Antonia Ruzic vs Kaja Juvan SELL Antonia Ruzic 63¢ $4 4h
Stuttgart Open: Alexander Bublik vs Taylor Fritz BUY Taylor Fritz 75¢ $4 5h
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Antonia Ruzic vs Kaja Juvan BUY Antonia Ruzic 75¢ $4 5h
Ilkley: Mark Lajal vs Yunchaokete Bu SELL Yunchaokete Bu 100¢ $5 5h
Ilkley: Mark Lajal vs Yunchaokete Bu BUY Yunchaokete Bu 83¢ $4 6h
Libema Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Magda Linette SELL Barbora Krejcikova 63¢ $3 6h
Libema Open: Caty McNally vs Ajla Tomljanovic SELL Ajla Tomljanovic 100¢ $5 7h
Libema Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Magda Linette BUY Barbora Krejcikova 84¢ $4 7h
Libema Open: Caty McNally vs Ajla Tomljanovic BUY Ajla Tomljanovic 76¢ $4 8h
Modena: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Laura Samson SELL Laura Samson 63¢ $4 21h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +22%
net ROI/market (all)-12.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 91 +0.1% -9.5% 54% 33% -8.9%
≤30d 106 -0.1% -9.6% 55% 30% -9.4%
≤90d 403 -3.7% -12.9% 41% 22% -12.8%
all 403 -3.7% -12.9% 41% 22% -12.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover38.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.9% 22% -12.8%
10% ← realistic here -21.2% 11% -21.1%
15% -28.8% 6% -28.7%
20% -35.8% 3% -35.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $7.47 · official $7.42 (match) · 2421 history records