Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T16:11:51+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

78
0x78b9…6b76
politics · 7 markets active 584d ago
0.0score
+$10,474,286 +179%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$10,474,286 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY politics specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample⚠ Possible transfer/wash account
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$10,474,286
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)100%
Wins / losses7 / 0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)7 / 7
History coverage13d
Avg bet$837,493
Trades / day262.6
Drawdown0%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 7 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days$0
14 days$0
30 days$0
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote? Nov 12 $824,472 +$2,368,492 +287%
Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Electi Nov 12 $2,270,626 +$4,971,102 +219%
Will a Democrat win Michigan Presidential Election? Nov 10 $51,590 +$38,234 +74%
Will a Republican win Michigan Presidential Election? Nov 07 $52,100 +$38,256 +73%
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? Nov 07 $538,510 +$288,719 +54%
Will a Republican win the popular vote and the Presidency? Nov 07 $592,054 +$866,622 +146%
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? Nov 07 $1,533,101 +$1,902,862 +124%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
politics 100% +$10,474,286
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote? BUY No 75¢ $16,574 583d
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote? BUY No 75¢ $2,511 583d
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote? BUY No 75¢ $11,250 583d
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote? BUY No 75¢ $25,165 583d
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote? BUY No 75¢ $750 583d
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? BUY Yes 57¢ $26,089 583d
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? BUY Yes 57¢ $22,880 584d
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? BUY Yes 57¢ $9 584d
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? BUY Yes 57¢ $3 584d
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? BUY Yes 57¢ $1,689 584d
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? BUY Yes 57¢ $8 584d
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? BUY Yes 57¢ $9 584d
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? BUY Yes 57¢ $2,263 584d
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? BUY Yes 57¢ $9 584d
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? BUY Yes 57¢ $9 584d
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? BUY Yes 57¢ $9 584d
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? BUY Yes 57¢ $9 584d
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? BUY Yes 57¢ $10 584d
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? BUY Yes 57¢ $7 584d
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? BUY Yes 57¢ $9 584d
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? BUY Yes 57¢ $53 584d
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? BUY Yes 57¢ $9 584d
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? BUY Yes 57¢ $20 584d
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? BUY Yes 57¢ $606 584d
Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Electi BUY Yes 30¢ $1,736 584d
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote? BUY No 30¢ $182,762 584d
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote? BUY No 31¢ $88 585d
Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Electi BUY Yes 31¢ $133 585d
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote? BUY No 30¢ $150 585d
Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Electi BUY Yes 30¢ $61 585d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +100%
net ROI/market (all)+116.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d no closed markets
≤30d no closed markets
≤90d no closed markets
all 7 +139.7% +116.9% 100% 100% +152.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover262.6 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +116.9% 100% +152.1%
10% +96.1% 100% +128.0%
15% ← realistic here +77.2% 100% +106.0%
20% +59.8% 100% +85.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records