Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T19:32:20+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

78
0x78a1…5551
sports · 646 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$4,214 -11%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$4,202 · open −$12
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$47
Realized−$4,202
Unrealized−$12
Win rate (resolved)38%
Wins / losses243 / 402
Est. fees paid−$909
Open positions1
Markets (closed)645 / 646
History coverage82d
Avg bet$59
Trades / day40.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 1 History 645 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$632
7 days−$1,525
14 days−$1,757
30 days−$1,967
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Modena: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Laura Samson Kaitlin Quevedo 39¢ 32¢ $59 $47 −$12 (-20%)
Foggia: Leyre Romero Gormaz vs Tyra Caterina Grant Tyra Caterina Grant 22¢ 0¢ $277 $0 −$277 (-100%)
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Leyre Romero Gormaz Leyre Romero Gormaz 36¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Libema Open: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Panna Udvardy Ekaterina Alexandrova 18¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Brazzaville: Florent Bax vs Adrian Arcon Adrian Arcon 5¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Mattia Bellucci vs Martin Landaluce Mattia Bellucci 51¢ 0¢ $49 $0 −$49 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Tommy Paul Tommy Paul 32¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jasmine Paolini vs Leolia Jeanjean Leolia Jeanjean 34¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Madrid Open: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Casper Ruud Alejandro Davidovich Fokina 7¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06? Yes 45¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Tucuman: Juan Bautista Torres vs Carlos Maria Zarate Juan Bautista Torres 5¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev Flavio Cobolli 7¢ 0¢ $137 $0 −$137 (-100%)
Jiujiang: Lanlana Tararudee vs Xinxin Yao Lanlana Tararudee 20¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Stuttgart Open, Qualification: Sho Shimabukuro vs Stefanos Sakellaridis Stefanos Sakellaridis 5¢ 0¢ $52 $0 −$52 (-100%)
Libema Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Arthur Rinderknech Arthur Rinderknech 14¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Libema Open: Caty McNally vs Solana Sierra Solana Sierra 27¢ 0¢ $47 $0 −$47 (-100%)
Tunis: Maxim Mrva vs Federico Cina Maxim Mrva 57¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Abidjan 2: Karim Bennani vs Karan Singh Karan Singh 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Dino Prizmic Dino Prizmic 36¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Luca Van Assche vs Brandon Nakashima Luca Van Assche 31¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Anna Kalinskaya vs Jelena Ostapenko Anna Kalinskaya 49¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Modena: Andrea Lazaro Garcia vs Julia Grabher Andrea Lazaro Garcia 10¢ 0¢ $99 $0 −$99 (-100%)
Abidjan 2: Gauthier Onclin vs Michael Mmoh Michael Mmoh 25¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Laura Siegemund vs Karolina Pliskova Laura Siegemund 19¢ 0¢ $77 $0 −$77 (-100%)
Madrid Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Caty McNally Caty McNally 13¢ 0¢ $33 $0 −$33 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro Jun 12 $28 +$14 +50%
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Katie Boulter Jun 12 $60 +$23 +38%
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz Jun 12 $393 −$55 -14%
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Frances Tiafoe Jun 12 $46 +$17 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +96%
Libema Open: Daria Snigur vs Robin Montgomery Jun 12 $35 −$34 -98%
Ilkley: Viktorija Golubic vs Katie Swan Jun 12 $27 −$27 -98%
Ilkley: Henrique Rocha vs Darwin Blanch Jun 12 $17 +$26 +154%
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron Jun 12 $37 +$2 +4%
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova Jun 12 $11 −$10 -97%
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Leyre Romero Gormaz Jun 12 $51 −$50 -98%
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska Jun 12 $39 −$35 -91%
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria Jun 12 $41 −$21 -51%
Modena: Dominika Salkova vs Katarzyna Kawa Jun 12 $15 +$14 +94%
Libema Open: Caty McNally vs Solana Sierra Jun 12 $48 −$47 -98%
Tucuman: Nicolas Kicker vs Nick Hardt Jun 11 $48 −$47 -98%
Tucuman: Federico Coria vs Andrea Collarini Jun 11 $340 −$255 -75%
Modena: Lucia Bronzetti vs Julia Grabher Jun 11 $308 +$179 +58%
Cattolica: Dusan Lajovic vs Oriol Roca Batalla Jun 11 $61 +$12 +19%
Stuttgart Open: Martin Landaluce vs Taylor Fritz Jun 11 $87 +$49 +56%
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic Jun 11 $48 −$29 -60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +140%
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Federico Bondioli Jun 11 $117 −$115 -98%
Libema Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Arthur Rinderknech Jun 11 $113 −$14 -12%
Libema Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Zhizhen Zhang Jun 11 $56 −$55 -98%
Stuttgart Open: Rinky Hijikata vs Frances Tiafoe Jun 11 $52 −$37 -70%
Modena: Leyre Romero Gormaz vs Mayar Sherif Jun 11 $6 +$5 +91%
Cattolica: Alvaro Guillen Meza vs Marco Cecchinato Jun 11 $49 −$48 -98%
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Hynek Barton Jun 11 $34 +$30 +88%
Libema Open: Gabriela Ruse vs Elise Mertens Jun 11 $490 −$482 -98%
Libema Open: Ugo Humbert vs Benjamin Bonzi Jun 11 $272 +$138 +51%
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10? Jun 10 $118 +$110 +93%
Libema Open: Panna Udvardy vs Daria Snigur Jun 10 $51 +$36 +70%
Tucuman: Maximo Zeitune vs Arklon Del Pino Jun 10 $171 +$119 +69%
Lyon: Marco Trungelliti vs Daniel Galan Jun 10 $90 −$46 -51%
Tucuman: Juan Bautista Torres vs Carlos Maria Zarate Jun 10 $106 −$5 -5%
Stuttgart Open: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Alexander Bublik Jun 10 $63 +$31 +50%
Modena: Laura Samson vs Darja Semenistaja Jun 10 $250 −$246 -98%
Cattolica: Francesco Forti vs Franco Agamenone Jun 10 $126 +$101 +80%
Libema Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Marton Fucsovics Jun 10 $245 −$48 -20%
Libema Open: Emma Navarro vs Caty McNally Jun 10 $163 −$41 -25%
Libema Open: Nikola Bartunkova vs Hanne Vandewinkel Jun 10 $263 +$115 +44%
Modena: Noma Noha Akugue vs Katarzyna Kawa Jun 10 $48 +$52 +110%
Libema Open: Otto Virtanen vs Kamil Majchrzak Jun 10 $41 +$2 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 09 $2 −$2 -96%
ITF Wichita: Pavle Marinkov vs Ryan Colby Jun 09 $45 −$45 -98%
Tucuman: Karim Bennani vs Santiago Rodriguez Taverna Jun 09 $182 −$179 -99%
ITF Wichita: James Trotter vs Karl Poling Jun 09 $58 +$58 +100%
Modena: Noemi Basiletti vs Varvara Lepchenko Jun 09 $129 −$126 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 99% −$4,274
other 1% +$63
crypto 0% −$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Modena: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Laura Samson BUY Kaitlin Quevedo 29¢ $14 14m
Modena: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Laura Samson BUY Kaitlin Quevedo 44¢ $46 45m
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro SELL Sho Shimabukuro 55¢ $14 47m
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro SELL Sho Shimabukuro 55¢ $28 47m
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro BUY Sho Shimabukuro 42¢ $11 54m
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro BUY Sho Shimabukuro 33¢ $17 55m
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Katie Boulter SELL Elena Rybakina 69¢ $46 56m
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Katie Boulter BUY Elena Rybakina 55¢ $37 1h
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Katie Boulter SELL Katie Boulter 46¢ $37 1h
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Katie Boulter BUY Katie Boulter 30¢ $8 1h
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Katie Boulter BUY Katie Boulter 25¢ $15 1h
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz BUY Mattia Bellucci 17¢ $1 1h
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz BUY Mattia Bellucci 30¢ $66 1h
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz BUY Mattia Bellucci 28¢ $1 1h
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz BUY Mattia Bellucci 28¢ $17 1h
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz SELL Mattia Bellucci 34¢ $85 1h
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz BUY Mattia Bellucci 30¢ $78 1h
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz SELL Mattia Bellucci 34¢ $100 1h
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz BUY Mattia Bellucci 31¢ $95 2h
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz SELL Mattia Bellucci 35¢ $85 2h
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz BUY Mattia Bellucci 31¢ $78 2h
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz SELL Taylor Fritz 66¢ $83 2h
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz BUY Taylor Fritz 45¢ $58 3h
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Frances Tiafoe SELL Jiri Lehecka 79¢ $63 3h
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Frances Tiafoe BUY Jiri Lehecka 56¢ $46 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET SELL Down 98¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $1 3h
Libema Open: Daria Snigur vs Robin Montgomery BUY Daria Snigur 22¢ $11 4h
Libema Open: Daria Snigur vs Robin Montgomery BUY Daria Snigur 22¢ $12 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +35%
net ROI/market (all)-22.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 98 -6.0% -14.9% 43% 40% -20.5%
≤30d 210 -10.5% -19.0% 40% 37% -20.1%
≤90d 645 -14.8% -22.9% 38% 35% -19.1%
all 645 -14.8% -22.9% 38% 35% -19.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover40.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -22.9% 35% -19.1%
10% ← realistic here -30.3% 32% -26.8%
15% -37.0% 28% -33.9%
20% -43.2% 24% -40.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $47.23 · official $47.23 (match) · 3500 history records