Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T07:54:49+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

78
0x789f…3e7d
sports · 9 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$282 -36%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$302 · open +$21
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Net worth$302
Realized−$302
Unrealized+$21
Win rate (resolved)20%
Wins / losses1 / 4
Est. fees paid−$9
Open positions4
Markets (closed)5 / 9
History coverage1d
Avg bet$87
Trades / day10.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit78%
Chart Positions 4 History 5 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$302
7 days−$302
14 days−$302
30 days−$302
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner KT Rolster 21¢ 26¢ $99 $121 +$21 (+21%)
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 FUT Esports 73¢ 72¢ $96 $95 −$1 (-1%)
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner FUT Esports 63¢ 62¢ $57 $56 −$0 (-1%)
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-3.5) vs B8 (+3.5) FUT Esports 47¢ 48¢ $29 $30 +$0 (+1%)
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 Over 43¢ $174 $0 −$174 (-100%)
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 8.5 Total Corners Under 45¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Team to Take First Corner Bosnia-Herzegovina 33¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $100 +$1 +1%
Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 157.5 Jun 13 $98 −$5 -6%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 8.5 Total Corners Jun 12 $102 −$100 -98%
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Team to Take First Corner Jun 12 $24 −$24 -98%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 Jun 12 $177 −$174 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 65% −$109
other 35% −$173
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-64.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 5 -60.9% -64.6% 20% 0% -64.7%
≤30d 5 -60.9% -64.6% 20% 0% -64.7%
≤90d 5 -60.9% -64.6% 20% 0% -64.7%
all 5 -60.9% -64.6% 20% 0% -64.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover10.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -64.6% 0% -64.7%
10% -68.0% 0% -68.1%
15% -71.1% 0% -71.1%
20% -73.9% 0% -74.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $301.68 · official $301.68 (match) · 11 history records