Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T08:43:24+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

78
0x788e…92c1
crypto · 1757 markets active 1h ago
2.0score
+$92 +5%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$92 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$3
Realized+$92
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)70%
Wins / losses1192 / 515
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1707 / 1757
History coverage24d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day73.8
Drawdown39%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1707 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$23
7 days+$75
14 days+$82
30 days+$92
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Up 34¢ 100¢ $1 $3 +$2 (+194%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Down 24¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Down 7¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Up 78¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Down 15¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Up 19¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Down 87¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Up 14¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Down 19¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Up 80¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Up 78¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$7 +625%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$4 +351%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +134%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +134%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$2 +146%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$2 +152%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +129%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$2 +218%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$5 +456%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +140%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +129%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$7 +685%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +129%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +124%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$2 +190%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$92
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $1 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Down 13¢ $1 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Down 16¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Up 23¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 4¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 19¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Down 18¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $1 11h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)-6.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 292 +19.0% +7.6% 37% 37% +12.7%
≤30d 1707 +3.7% -6.2% 70% 43% -4.8%
≤90d 1707 +3.7% -6.2% 70% 43% -4.8%
all 1707 +3.7% -6.2% 70% 43% -4.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover73.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -6.2% 43% -4.8%
10% ← realistic here -15.2% 25% -13.9%
15% -23.4% 15% -22.2%
20% -30.9% 11% -29.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2.94 · official $2.94 (match) · 3012 history records