Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:56:08+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

78
0x7885…1173
sports · 261 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$1,352 -8%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,163 · open −$163
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$895
Realized−$1,163
Unrealized−$163
Win rate (resolved)45%
Wins / losses124 / 153
Est. fees paid−$161
Open positions25
Markets (closed)277 / 261
History coverage2d
Avg bet$64
Trades / day1832.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit94%
Chart Positions 25 History 277 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,163
7 days−$1,163
14 days−$1,163
30 days−$1,163
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova Kamilla Rakhimova 36¢ 74¢ $70 $145 +$75 (+108%)
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu Emma Raducanu 59¢ 79¢ $90 $120 +$30 (+34%)
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova Harriet Dart 43¢ 26¢ $173 $102 −$71 (-41%)
Ilkley: Lulu Sun vs Mary Stoiana Mary Stoiana 57¢ 100¢ $47 $82 +$35 (+74%)
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic Marin Cilic 57¢ 100¢ $38 $66 +$29 (+76%)
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron Marcos Giron 56¢ 56¢ $64 $64 +$1 (+1%)
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu Sorana Cirstea 40¢ 21¢ $68 $36 −$32 (-48%)
Ilkley: Arthur Gea vs Mark Lajal Arthur Gea 40¢ 40¢ $31 $32 +$1 (+2%)
Libema Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Magda Linette Magda Linette 37¢ 80¢ $13 $28 +$15 (+117%)
Ilkley: Keegan Smith vs Jacob Fearnley Jacob Fearnley 70¢ 66¢ $28 $26 −$2 (-7%)
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox 50¢ 66¢ $15 $20 +$5 (+33%)
Ilkley: Dane Sweeny vs Billy Harris Billy Harris 73¢ 68¢ $20 $19 −$1 (-6%)
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score Yes 46¢ 46¢ $17 $17 −$0 (-1%)
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron Ben Shelton 51¢ 44¢ $19 $17 −$3 (-14%)
Ilkley: Tatiana Prozorova vs Sinja Kraus Tatiana Prozorova 68¢ 100¢ $10 $15 +$5 (+48%)
Lyon: Tristan Boyer vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo Tristan Boyer 51¢ 100¢ $8 $15 +$7 (+95%)
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox Atlanta Braves 51¢ 34¢ $18 $12 −$6 (-35%)
Ilkley: Dane Sweeny vs Billy Harris Dane Sweeny 36¢ 32¢ $10 $8 −$1 (-12%)
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals 49¢ 48¢ $8 $8 −$0 (-1%)
Libema Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Alex de Minaur Alex de Minaur 76¢ 94¢ $7 $8 +$2 (+23%)
Ilkley: Arthur Gea vs Mark Lajal Mark Lajal 71¢ 60¢ $9 $8 −$1 (-16%)
Ilkley: Henrique Rocha vs Darwin Blanch Darwin Blanch 48¢ 72¢ $5 $7 +$2 (+49%)
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees New York Yankees 51¢ 56¢ $6 $6 +$1 (+11%)
Ilkley: Elizabeth Mandlik vs Dalma Galfi Dalma Galfi 47¢ 70¢ $4 $6 +$2 (+49%)
Libema Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Magda Linette Zeynep Sonmez 19¢ 20¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+9%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Spread: Boston Red Sox (-2.5) Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Paraguay vs. Nicaragua: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
San Marino vs. Bangladesh: O/U 0.5 Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 12.5 Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Gibraltar vs. Cayman Islands: Draw at halftime? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Hong Kong SAR leading at halftime? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 14.5 Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-3.5) Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Saudi Arabia vs. Senegal: Draw at halftime? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
ITF Sumter: Malaika Rapolu vs Maria Sholokhova Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 6.5 Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Spread: Minnesota Twins (-1.5) Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 6.5 Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Prostejov: Hynek Barton vs Alex Molcan Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Qatar vs. El Salvador end in a draw? Jun 12 $29 −$29 -100%
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-2.5) Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Argentina leading at halftime? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
New York Mets vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 5.5 Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Georgia vs. Bahrain: Draw at halftime? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Gibraltar leading at halftime? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 11.5 Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
ITF Ceska Lipa: Cagla Buyukakcay vs Eva Vedder Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Cattolica: Samuele Pieri vs Oriol Roca Batalla Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Moldova vs. Bulgaria: O/U 5.5 Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Spread: Detroit Tigers (-3.5) Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Stuttgart Open, Qualification: Marc-Andrea Huesler vs Gauthier Onclin Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Kosovo vs. Andorra: O/U 4.5 Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Spread: Kansas City Royals (-2.5) Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Spread: Belgium (-2.5) Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 10.5 Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Portugal vs. Chile: Draw at halftime? Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
ITF Caserta: Francesca Pace vs Luisina Giovannini Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Albania vs. Luxembourg: O/U 5.5 Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Jordan vs. Colombia: Draw at halftime? Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-3.5) Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Spread: Tunisia (-2.5) Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Mexico vs. Serbia: Draw at halftime? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Togo vs. Benin: O/U 5.5 Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard Jun 12 $98 −$25 -25%
HSBC Championships: Jaqueline Cristian vs Katie Boulter Jun 12 $2 +$1 +38%
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska Jun 12 $399 −$69 -17%
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria Jun 12 $23 +$3 +12%
Modena: Dominika Salkova vs Katarzyna Kawa Jun 12 $23 +$24 +101%
Cattolica: Dusan Lajovic vs Oriol Roca Batalla Jun 12 $314 −$6 -2%
ITF Ceska Lipa: Julie Struplova vs Martha Matoula Jun 12 $33 +$5 +16%
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Maxim Mrva Jun 12 $1 +$1 +62%
HSBC Championships: Marie Bouzkova vs Donna Vekic Jun 12 $226 +$78 +35%
Libema Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Adrian Mannarino Jun 12 $46 −$5 -11%
Libema Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Gabriela Ruse Jun 12 $7 −$5 -76%
Lyon: Dali Blanch vs David Jorda Sanchis Jun 12 $10 +$2 +16%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 82% −$775
other 18% −$422
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ilkley: Elizabeth Mandlik vs Dalma Galfi BUY Dalma Galfi 47¢ $1 1m
Ilkley: Elizabeth Mandlik vs Dalma Galfi BUY Dalma Galfi 47¢ $1 1m
Ilkley: Elizabeth Mandlik vs Dalma Galfi BUY Dalma Galfi 47¢ $1 1m
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova BUY Kamilla Rakhimova 45¢ $5 2m
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova BUY Kamilla Rakhimova 44¢ $2 3m
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik BUY Alexander Bublik 62¢ $1 3m
Libema Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Magda Linette BUY Zeynep Sonmez 16¢ $4 5m
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova BUY Kamilla Rakhimova 44¢ $4 6m
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron BUY Ben Shelton 70¢ $1 9m
Ilkley: Arthur Gea vs Mark Lajal BUY Arthur Gea 41¢ $1 9m
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik BUY Alexander Bublik 65¢ $2 9m
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova BUY Kamilla Rakhimova 45¢ $3 9m
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova BUY Kamilla Rakhimova 45¢ $13 9m
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron BUY Ben Shelton 70¢ $3 9m
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron BUY Ben Shelton 71¢ $5 10m
Ilkley: Arthur Gea vs Mark Lajal BUY Arthur Gea 42¢ $4 10m
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik BUY Alexander Bublik 67¢ $1 10m
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron BUY Marcos Giron 46¢ $7 10m
Ilkley: Arthur Gea vs Mark Lajal BUY Arthur Gea 41¢ $11 10m
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova BUY Kamilla Rakhimova 52¢ $12 11m
Ilkley: Arthur Gea vs Mark Lajal BUY Arthur Gea 45¢ $9 11m
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Kimmer Coppejans BUY Daniel Galan 51¢ $2 12m
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Kimmer Coppejans BUY Kimmer Coppejans 54¢ $1 12m
Ilkley: Arthur Gea vs Mark Lajal BUY Arthur Gea 37¢ $2 17m
Ilkley: Arthur Gea vs Mark Lajal BUY Arthur Gea 38¢ $3 17m
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu BUY Sorana Cirstea 17¢ $2 18m
Ilkley: Arthur Gea vs Mark Lajal BUY Mark Lajal 60¢ $1 19m
Ilkley: Arthur Gea vs Mark Lajal BUY Mark Lajal 60¢ $3 19m
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova BUY Harriet Dart 28¢ $43 26m
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu BUY Sorana Cirstea 32¢ $3 28m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +34%
net ROI/market (all)-5.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 277 +4.0% -5.9% 45% 34% -15.4%
≤30d 277 +4.0% -5.9% 45% 34% -15.4%
≤90d 277 +4.0% -5.9% 45% 34% -15.4%
all 277 +4.0% -5.9% 45% 34% -15.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1832.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -5.9% 34% -15.4%
10% ← realistic here -14.9% 26% -23.5%
15% -23.2% 19% -30.9%
20% -30.7% 14% -37.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $895.22 · official $894.55 (match) · 3500 history records