Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T09:19:50+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

78
0x7885…1979
crypto · 89 markets active 2h ago
4.0score
+$55 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$56 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$155
Realized+$56
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)97%
Wins / losses85 / 3
Open positions1
Markets (closed)88 / 89
Avg bet$66
Trades / day1.0
Drawdown4%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 88 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$4
7 days+$8
14 days+$16
30 days+$32
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 12? No 100¢ 99¢ $155 $155 −$0 (-0%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 7? No 57¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 11? Jun 12 $4 $0 +7%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 11? Jun 12 $150 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 10? Jun 11 $151 +$3 +2%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 9? Jun 10 $150 +$1 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 8? Jun 09 $148 +$2 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 7? Jun 08 $148 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 7? Jun 07 $1 −$1 -97%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 6? Jun 07 $50 +$1 +2%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 5? Jun 06 $50 +$1 +2%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 5? Jun 06 $97 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 4? Jun 05 $30 +$1 +4%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 4? Jun 05 $115 +$1 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 3? Jun 04 $43 +$1 +3%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 3? Jun 04 $100 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 2? Jun 03 $140 +$2 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 1? Jun 02 $140 $0 +0%
Will Solana dip to $60 in May? Jun 01 $50 +$1 +3%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 31? Jun 01 $89 +$1 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 30? May 31 $89 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 29? May 30 $88 +$1 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 28? May 29 $11 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 28? May 29 $30 +$1 +4%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 27? May 28 $30 $0 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 27? May 28 $50 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 26? May 27 $30 +$1 +4%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 26? May 27 $55 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 25? May 26 $85 +$1 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 24? May 25 $30 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 24? May 25 $50 +$2 +5%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 23? May 24 $80 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 22? May 23 $81 $0 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 21? May 22 $80 +$1 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 20? May 21 $80 +$1 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 19? May 20 $80 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 18? May 19 $79 +$1 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 17? May 18 $75 +$1 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 16? May 17 $77 +$1 +2%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 15? May 16 $50 +$3 +6%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 14? May 15 $70 +$1 +2%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 13? May 14 $70 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 12? May 13 $70 $0 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 11? May 12 $72 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 10? May 11 $50 +$1 +2%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 9? May 10 $60 $0 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 8? May 09 $69 +$1 +2%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 7? May 08 $69 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 6? May 07 $68 +$1 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 4? May 06 $68 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 3? May 04 $60 +$1 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 2? May 03 $60 +$1 +2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$55
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 12? BUY No 100¢ $155 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 11? BUY No 100¢ $150 24h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 11? BUY No 93¢ $4 24h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 10? BUY No 98¢ $151 2d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 9? BUY No 99¢ $150 3d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 8? BUY No 98¢ $148 4d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 7? BUY No 57¢ $1 4d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 7? BUY No 100¢ $148 4d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 6? BUY No 97¢ $50 5d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 5? BUY No 100¢ $97 7d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 5? BUY No 98¢ $50 7d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 4? BUY No 99¢ $115 8d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 4? BUY No 96¢ $30 8d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 3? BUY No 97¢ $3 9d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 3? BUY No 100¢ $100 9d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 3? BUY No 97¢ $40 9d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 2? BUY No 99¢ $100 10d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 2? BUY No 98¢ $40 10d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 1? BUY No 100¢ $140 10d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 31? BUY No 99¢ $89 12d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 30? BUY No 100¢ $89 13d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 29? BUY No 99¢ $88 14d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 28? BUY No 100¢ $11 14d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 28? BUY No 96¢ $30 14d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 27? BUY No 100¢ $50 16d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 27? BUY No 99¢ $30 16d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 26? BUY No 100¢ $55 17d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 26? BUY No 96¢ $30 17d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 25? BUY No 99¢ $85 18d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 24? BUY No 100¢ $30 19d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 10 -8.4% -17.1% 90% 0% -8.8%
≤30d 40 -1.0% -10.4% 98% 0% -8.6%
≤90d 86 -0.0% -9.5% 97% 0% -8.6%
all 88 +0.0% -9.5% 97% 0% -8.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.0 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.5% 0% -8.6%
10% -18.2% 0% -17.4%
15% -26.1% 0% -25.4%
20% -33.3% 0% -32.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $154.61 · official $154.61 (match) · 180 history records