Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T11:31:52+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

78
0x787b…3c88
other · 234 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$79 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$79 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$0
Realized−$79
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)4%
Wins / losses10 / 224
Whale WR (big bets)0%
Est. fees paid−$9
Open positions0
Markets (closed)234 / 234
Avg bet$198
Trades / day9.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit59%
Chart Positions 0 History 234 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$4
7 days−$16
14 days−$24
30 days−$34
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Narendra Modi win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 12 $103 $0 -0%
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026? Jun 12 $238 $0 -0%
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 12 $235 $0 -0%
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 11 $234 $0 -0%
Will the Baltimore Orioles win the 2026 World Series? Jun 11 $434 −$1 -0%
Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 11 $244 −$1 -0%
Will New York Red Bulls win the 2026 MLS Cup? Jun 10 $178 $0 -0%
Will the Detroit Tigers win the 2026 World Series? Jun 10 $197 $0 -0%
Will Ahmed al-Sharaa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 10 $203 $0 -0%
Will the Kansas City Royals win the 2026 World Series? Jun 10 $188 $0 -0%
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 10 $551 −$1 -0%
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 10 $241 −$1 -0%
Will Xi Jinping win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 10 $223 −$1 -0%
Xi Jinping out by June 30? Jun 09 $479 −$1 -0%
Will the Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 09 $187 −$1 -0%
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? Jun 09 $274 −$1 -0%
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 08 $822 −$1 -0%
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 08 $112 $0 -0%
Will the Cincinnati Bengals win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 08 $126 $0 -0%
Will the Indianapolis Colts win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 08 $263 $0 -0%
Will the Boston Red Sox win the 2026 World Series? Jun 08 $519 −$1 -0%
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 07 $331 −$1 -0%
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 07 $398 −$1 -0%
Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 06 $246 $0 -0%
Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2 Jun 06 $255 −$1 -0%
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 06 $247 $0 -0%
Will the Washington Commanders win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 06 $314 −$1 -0%
Will Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 06 $590 −$1 -0%
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 05 $142 $0 -0%
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 04 $135 $0 -0%
Will the Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 04 $111 $0 -0%
Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the 2026 World Series? Jun 04 $225 $0 -0%
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 04 $55 $0 -0%
Will the New York Mets win the 2026 World Series? Jun 03 $55 $0 -0%
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 03 $389 −$1 -0%
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 03 $400 −$1 -0%
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 03 $308 $0 -0%
Will the New York Giants win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 02 $540 −$1 -0%
Will Charlie Kirk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 02 $412 −$1 -0%
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 02 $391 $0 -0%
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 02 $501 −$1 -0%
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Jun 01 $180 −$1 -0%
Will the Pittsburgh Pirates win the 2026 World Series? May 31 $57 $0 -0%
Will Orlando City SC win the 2026 MLS Cup? May 31 $197 $0 -0%
Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? May 31 $138 $0 -0%
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 31 $488 −$1 -0%
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? May 31 $272 $0 -0%
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? May 30 $148 $0 +0%
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship? May 28 $221 $0 -0%
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 27 $377 −$1 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 45% −$38
sports 26% −$21
politics 9% −$5
crypto 6% −$5
culture 6% −$5
economics 6% −$7
world 1% −$1
tech 1% +$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Narendra Modi win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? SELL No 98¢ $51 1h
Will Narendra Modi win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? BUY No 98¢ $51 3h
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026? SELL No 99¢ $51 4h
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026? BUY No 100¢ $51 5h
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? SELL No 100¢ $51 11h
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? BUY No 100¢ $51 12h
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 99¢ $51 14h
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 99¢ $51 16h
Will the Baltimore Orioles win the 2026 World Series? SELL No 99¢ $51 24h
Will the Baltimore Orioles win the 2026 World Series? BUY No 99¢ $51 25h
Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? SELL No 99¢ $51 32h
Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? BUY No 99¢ $51 34h
Will Narendra Modi win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? SELL No 98¢ $51 34h
Will Narendra Modi win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? BUY No 98¢ $52 35h
Will New York Red Bulls win the 2026 MLS Cup? SELL No 99¢ $52 38h
Will New York Red Bulls win the 2026 MLS Cup? BUY No 99¢ $52 40h
Will the Detroit Tigers win the 2026 World Series? SELL No 99¢ $52 41h
Will the Detroit Tigers win the 2026 World Series? BUY No 99¢ $52 42h
Will Ahmed al-Sharaa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? SELL No 99¢ $52 45h
Will Ahmed al-Sharaa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? BUY No 99¢ $52 47h
Will the Kansas City Royals win the 2026 World Series? SELL No 99¢ $52 2d
Will the Kansas City Royals win the 2026 World Series? BUY No 99¢ $52 2d
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? SELL No 100¢ $52 2d
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? BUY No 100¢ $52 2d
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? SELL No 98¢ $52 2d
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? BUY No 98¢ $52 2d
Will Xi Jinping win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? SELL No 99¢ $52 2d
Will Xi Jinping win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? BUY No 99¢ $52 2d
Xi Jinping out by June 30? SELL No 99¢ $52 2d
Xi Jinping out by June 30? BUY No 99¢ $52 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 29 -0.2% -9.7% 0% 0% -9.7%
≤30d 71 -0.2% -9.7% 3% 0% -9.7%
≤90d 186 -0.2% -9.7% 4% 0% -9.7%
all 234 -0.1% -9.6% 4% 0% -9.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover9.8 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.6% 0% -9.7%
10% -18.3% 0% -18.3%
15% -26.2% 0% -26.2%
20% -33.4% 0% -33.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1250 history records