Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T17:20:35+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

78
0x7879…dd74
crypto · 1314 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$1,633 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,633 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$169
Realized−$1,633
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)92%
Wins / losses1239 / 103
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1342 / 1314
History coverage10d
Avg bet$38
Trades / day234.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 1342 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,551
7 days−$1,739
14 days−$1,633
30 days−$1,633
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Up 99¢ 100¢ $146 $147 +$1 (+1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Up 90¢ 100¢ $19 $21 +$2 (+11%)
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No 91¢ 96¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+5%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Up 95¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Down 97¢ 0¢ $41 $0 −$41 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Up 89¢ 0¢ $31 $0 −$31 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Up 95¢ 0¢ $54 $0 −$54 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Down 89¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Up 86¢ 0¢ $56 $0 −$56 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Down 99¢ 0¢ $29 $0 −$29 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Up 95¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Down 97¢ 0¢ $131 $0 −$131 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Up 85¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Up 92¢ 0¢ $59 $0 −$59 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Up 91¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Down 90¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Up 91¢ 0¢ $88 $0 −$88 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Down 99¢ 0¢ $46 $0 −$46 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Up 91¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Up 90¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Down 95¢ 0¢ $28 $0 −$28 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Down 88¢ 0¢ $44 $0 −$44 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Up 95¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Up 93¢ 0¢ $55 $0 −$55 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Down 94¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 13 $41 −$41 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 13 $31 −$31 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 13 $29 −$29 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 13 $131 −$131 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 13 $88 −$88 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $28 −$28 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $129 −$129 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 13 $79 −$79 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 13 $36 −$36 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 13 $27 −$27 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 13 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 13 $46 −$46 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 13 $65 −$65 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $46 −$46 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 13 $23 −$23 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 13 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $117 −$117 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 13 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 13 $55 −$55 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 13 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 13 $109 −$109 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 13 $97 −$97 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 13 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 13 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 13 $23 −$23 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 13 $57 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 13 $70 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 13 $19 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 13 $9 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 13 $57 +$3 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $28 +$2 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 13 $19 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 13 $9 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 13 $37 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $28 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 13 $56 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $38 +$2 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 13 $37 +$2 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $9 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 13 $19 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 13 $19 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $62 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 13 $33 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 13 $33 +$1 +2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$152
other 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $19 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $19 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $19 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $9 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $19 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $19 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $14 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $19 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $19 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $19 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $19 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $19 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $14 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $14 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $19 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $9 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $19 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $19 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $19 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $9 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $6 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $19 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $19 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $19 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $19 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $19 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $18 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $18 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $9 12h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +11%
net ROI/market (all)-11.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 904 -4.4% -13.5% 91% 9% -14.7%
≤30d 1342 -2.6% -11.9% 92% 11% -12.4%
≤90d 1342 -2.6% -11.9% 92% 11% -12.4%
all 1342 -2.6% -11.9% 92% 11% -12.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover234.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.9% 11% -12.4%
10% ← realistic here -20.3% 0% -20.8%
15% -28.0% 0% -28.4%
20% -35.1% 0% -35.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $169.05 · official $169.05 (match) · 3500 history records