trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Yes | 48¢ | 46¢ | $5 | $5 | −$0 (-3%) |
| Will Zion Suzuki be in Japan's Starting 11? | Yes | 99¢ | 92¢ | $2 | $2 | −$0 (-7%) |
| Will South Korea reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 50¢ | 44¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-13%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Exact Score: Canada 2 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? | Jun 12 | $1 | $0 | -45% |
| Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? | Jun 12 | $1 | $0 | -7% |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $5 | −$4 | -84% |
| Exact Score: Korea Republic 3 - 1 Czechia? | Jun 12 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| World Cup: Unbeaten Champion? | Jun 12 | $1 | $0 | -12% |
| Will Cape Verde reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 12 | $1 | −$1 | -62% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $1 | +$2 | +165% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $1 | $0 | +42% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 8 | -12.8% | -21.1% | 25% | 25% | -42.6% |
| ≤30d | 8 | -12.8% | -21.1% | 25% | 25% | -42.6% |
| ≤90d | 8 | -12.8% | -21.1% | 25% | 25% | -42.6% |
| all | 8 | -12.8% | -21.1% | 25% | 25% | -42.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -21.1% | 25% | -42.6% |
| 10% | -28.7% | 25% | -48.1% |
| 15% | -35.5% | 25% | -53.1% |
| 20% | -41.9% | 12% | -57.7% |