Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T01:43:52+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

78
0x784a…cdde
crypto · 1727 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$2 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$2
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)94%
Wins / losses1629 / 97
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1726 / 1727
History coverage7d
Avg bet$13
Trades / day242.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1726 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$28
7 days+$7
14 days−$2
30 days−$2
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Up 93¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 14 $14 +$5 +34%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 14 $17 +$2 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 14 $19 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 14 $19 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 14 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 14 $18 +$1 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 14 $19 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 14 $19 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 14 $19 +$1 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 14 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 14 $20 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 14 $19 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 14 $18 +$2 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 14 $19 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 14 $16 +$4 +26%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 14 $18 −$18 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 14 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 14 $20 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 14 $19 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $16 +$4 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 14 $20 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 14 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $20 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $19 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 14 $18 +$2 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 14 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 14 $18 +$2 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 13 $20 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 13 $20 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 13 $14 −$14 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $18 +$2 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $17 +$3 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 13 $19 +$1 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 13 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 13 $18 +$2 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 13 $18 +$2 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 13 $17 +$3 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 13 $19 +$1 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 13 $19 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 13 $17 +$3 +19%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 13 $19 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 13 $19 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 13 $18 +$1 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $18 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $18 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 13 $18 +$1 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 13 $19 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 13 $17 +$2 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 13 $18 +$1 +3%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 73¢ $14 3m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $17 4m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $19 9m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 13m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $18 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $18 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $18 18m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $19 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $19 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $19 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $20 38m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $20 39m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $19 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $18 48m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $19 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $16 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $18 58m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $20 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $20 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $19 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $16 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $14 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $20 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $19 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $18 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $11 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +15%
net ROI/market (all)-9.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1653 +0.3% -9.3% 94% 16% -9.5%
≤30d 1726 +0.2% -9.3% 94% 15% -9.5%
≤90d 1726 +0.2% -9.3% 94% 15% -9.5%
all 1726 +0.2% -9.3% 94% 15% -9.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover242.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.3% 15% -9.5%
10% ← realistic here -18.0% 4% -18.2%
15% -25.9% 1% -26.1%
20% -33.2% 0% -33.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records