Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T18:38:24+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

78
0x7831…5eb1
crypto · 1482 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$48 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$388 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$388
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)80%
Wins / losses1189 / 293
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1482 / 1482
History coverage16d
Avg bet$12
Trades / day128.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 0 History 1482 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$5
7 days−$252
14 days−$498
30 days−$388
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Up 88¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Down 88¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Up 84¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Down 78¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Down 77¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Down 72¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Up 77¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Up 69¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Up 85¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Down 90¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Down 86¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Up 81¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Down 86¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Up 86¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Down 84¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Down 74¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Down 79¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Down 83¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Down 80¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Up 85¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Down 87¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Down 81¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Up 76¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +26%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$2 +36%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +38%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +38%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$1 +16%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +38%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +46%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -98%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +48%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -99%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -98%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +36%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +27%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -99%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +16%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +37%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +20%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +18%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +19%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +18%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -99%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +25%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +29%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +20%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -99%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -99%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +33%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +20%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +31%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +28%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +26%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +29%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +18%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +23%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +25%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +18%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +20%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +20%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +16%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +18%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -99%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +32%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +19%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 98% −$309
finance 1% −$60
politics 1% −$9
other 0% −$2
world 0% −$8
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $5 30m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $4 36m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $2 40m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $5 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $3 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $3 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $5 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $5 2h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $5 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $4 2h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $5 2h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $5 3h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $5 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $5 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $5 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $5 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $5 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $5 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $5 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $5 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $5 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $5 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $5 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $5 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $5 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $5 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $5 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $5 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $5 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +65%
net ROI/market (all)-4.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 313 -4.6% -13.7% 77% 69% -20.3%
≤30d 1482 +5.5% -4.5% 80% 65% -11.5%
≤90d 1482 +5.5% -4.5% 80% 65% -11.5%
all 1482 +5.5% -4.5% 80% 65% -11.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover128.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -4.5% 65% -11.5%
10% ← realistic here -13.6% 30% -20.0%
15% -22.0% 13% -27.7%
20% -29.6% 5% -34.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records