Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T11:05:08+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

78
0x7829…cfd3
sports · 360 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$6,675 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$16,566 · open +$9,900
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$12,997
Realized−$16,566
Unrealized+$9,900
Win rate (resolved)37%
Wins / losses130 / 226
Whale WR (big bets)42%
Est. fees paid−$4,443
Open positions4
Markets (closed)356 / 360
History coverage71d
Avg bet$711
Trades / day32.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 4 History 356 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$567
7 days+$3,403
14 days−$8,383
30 days−$16,580
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Team WE 18¢ 100¢ $2,176 $12,044 +$9,868 (+453%)
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Team WE 40¢ 100¢ $342 $851 +$509 (+149%)
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card) Ciryl Gane 52¢ 50¢ $104 $101 −$3 (-3%)
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Team WE 19¢ 0¢ $475 $1 −$474 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 TYLOO 31¢ 0¢ $45 $0 −$45 (-100%)
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winner HANJIN BRION 33¢ 0¢ $412 $0 −$412 (-100%)
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner JD Gaming 23¢ 0¢ $340 $0 −$340 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Natus Vincere 37¢ 0¢ $196 $0 −$196 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Astralis 36¢ 0¢ $176 $0 −$176 (-100%)
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs Weibo Gaming Youth Team - Game 2 Winner Weibo Gaming Youth Team 9¢ 0¢ $188 $0 −$188 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Aurora Gaming 31¢ 0¢ $465 $0 −$465 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN - Map 2 Winner Astralis 30¢ 0¢ $110 $0 −$110 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 2 Winner B8 25¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Team WE 31¢ 0¢ $440 $0 −$440 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 1 Winner B8 21¢ 0¢ $132 $0 −$132 (-100%)
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 3 Winner Team WE 32¢ 0¢ $1,282 $0 −$1,282 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $374 +$426 +114%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $475 −$465 -98%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $197 −$196 -100%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $204 −$200 -98%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $135 −$132 -98%
Counter-Strike: illwill vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Group S Jun 10 $64 +$136 +212%
Counter-Strike: illwill vs G2 Ares - Map 1 Winner Jun 10 $136 +$124 +91%
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs Weibo Gaming Youth Team - Game 2 Winn Jun 09 $188 −$188 -100%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 08 $353 +$297 +84%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $46 −$45 -98%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 08 $374 +$481 +129%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN - Map 2 Winner Jun 08 $110 −$110 -100%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $176 −$176 -100%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 07 $5 $0 +5%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 07 $1,802 +$1,898 +105%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $1,158 +$1,642 +142%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $2,227 +$885 +40%
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $1,290 −$1,282 -99%
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 06 $440 −$440 -100%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 06 $420 +$748 +178%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 06 $25 −$1 -5%
LoL: Ronaldo Team vs Bubliki (BO5) - LPLOL Playoffs Jun 06 $29 −$29 -100%
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Lavked (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Playoffs Jun 06 $34 −$34 -100%
Counter-Strike: HEROIC Academy vs Bushido Wildcats (BO3) - CCT Europe Jun 06 $54 −$54 -100%
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winner Jun 06 $165 −$118 -72%
Counter-Strike: TDK vs OG - Map 2 Winner Jun 06 $99 −$99 -100%
LoL: Solary vs Galions - Game 2 Winner Jun 06 $187 −$165 -88%
UFC Fight Night: Cody Brundage vs. Andre Petroski (Middleweight, Preli Jun 06 $185 −$185 -100%
Counter-Strike: NIP vs FaZe (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs Jun 06 $92 −$92 -100%
Game Handicap: KT (-1.5) vs Nongshim Red Force (+1.5) Jun 06 $104 −$104 -100%
LoL: TLN Pirates vs Vitality.Bee - Game 1 Winner Jun 06 $118 −$118 -100%
LoL: Gen.G Global Academy vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers - Game 2 Jun 06 $96 −$96 -100%
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOS - Game 4 Winner Jun 06 $53 −$53 -100%
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 06 $252 −$252 -100%
LoL: KT Rolster vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winner Jun 06 $143 −$143 -100%
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner Jun 06 $279 −$279 -100%
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Galions - Game 3 Winner Jun 06 $133 −$133 -100%
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs MVK Esports - Game 3 Winner Jun 06 $174 −$174 -100%
Counter-Strike: HEROIC Academy vs Bushido Wildcats - Map 1 Winner Jun 06 $120 −$120 -100%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend Jun 06 $160 −$160 -100%
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS - Game 3 Winner Jun 06 $79 −$79 -100%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO5) - Esports World Cup China Qualifi Jun 06 $247 −$247 -100%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 - Game 4 Winner Jun 06 $213 −$213 -100%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winner Jun 06 $90 −$90 -100%
LoL: Gen.G Global Academy vs DN SOOPers Challengers - Game 2 Winner Jun 06 $133 −$133 -100%
LoL: Gen.G Global Academy vs DN SOOPers Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challe Jun 06 $96 −$96 -100%
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth (BO3) - LCK Challengers Jun 06 $197 −$197 -100%
LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX - Game 2 Winner Jun 06 $126 −$126 -100%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 06 $133 −$133 -100%
LoL: KT Rolster vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualif Jun 06 $270 −$270 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 98% −$9,878
other 1% +$4,312
world 0% −$1,100
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner BUY Team WE 40¢ $348 32m
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Team WE 48¢ $49 1h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Team WE 37¢ $19 1h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Team WE 37¢ $113 1h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner SELL Team WE 17¢ $620 1h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner SELL Team WE 17¢ $4 1h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner SELL Team WE 17¢ $4 1h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner SELL Team WE 17¢ $52 1h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Team WE 19¢ $10 1h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Team WE 19¢ $700 1h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Team WE 19¢ $1 1h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Team WE 19¢ $0 1h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Team WE 19¢ $12 1h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Team WE 19¢ $0 1h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Team WE 19¢ $0 1h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Team WE 19¢ $0 1h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Team WE 19¢ $0 1h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Team WE 19¢ $0 1h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Team WE 19¢ $1 1h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Team WE 19¢ $427 1h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Team WE 15¢ $525 1h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Team WE 15¢ $231 1h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Team WE 18¢ $295 1h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Team WE 17¢ $510 1h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner BUY Team WE 19¢ $113 2h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner BUY Team WE 19¢ $3 2h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner BUY Team WE 19¢ $359 2h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner BUY Aurora Gaming 31¢ $237 16h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner BUY Aurora Gaming 31¢ $237 16h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner BUY 9z 46¢ $374 17h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +36%
net ROI/market (all)-15.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 20 +5.0% -5.0% 50% 45% +20.8%
≤30d 207 -20.3% -27.9% 29% 29% -26.4%
≤90d 356 -6.9% -15.8% 37% 36% -15.5%
all 356 -6.9% -15.8% 37% 36% -15.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover32.6 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -15.8% 36% -15.5%
10% -23.9% 35% -23.6%
15% ← realistic here -31.2% 34% -30.9%
20% -38.0% 30% -37.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $12,996.94 · official $12,996.94 (match) · 2762 history records