trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 6 | -65.7% | -68.9% | 17% | 0% | -59.8% |
| ≤30d | 6 | -65.7% | -68.9% | 17% | 0% | -59.8% |
| ≤90d | 6 | -65.7% | -68.9% | 17% | 0% | -59.8% |
| all | 6 | -65.7% | -68.9% | 17% | 0% | -59.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | -68.9% | 0% | -59.8% |
| 10% ← realistic here | -71.9% | 0% | -63.6% |
| 15% | -74.6% | 0% | -67.1% |
| 20% | -77.1% | 0% | -70.3% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 17? | No | 2¢ | 1¢ | $14 | $6 | −$7 (-53%) |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 17? | Yes | 1¢ | 0¢ | $16 | $6 | −$10 (-62%) |
| Will Austria win on 2026-06-17? | No | 29¢ | 28¢ | $2 | $2 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 73¢ | 72¢ | $2 | $2 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | Jun 16 | $2 | $0 | +10% |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $2 | $0 | -4% |
| France vs. Senegal: Neither team to score first? | Jun 16 | $0 | $0 | -97% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 16? | Jun 16 | $2 | −$1 | -94% |
| France vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Score | Jun 16 | $2 | −$2 | -99% |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $2 | −$2 | -98% |