Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T17:21:09+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

78
0x7819…be44
sports · 16 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$21 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$31 · open +$10
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY sports specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$67
Realized−$31
Unrealized+$10
Win rate (resolved)67%
Wins / losses8 / 4
Est. fees paid−$7
Open positions4
Markets (closed)12 / 16
History coverage2d
Avg bet$28
Trades / day24.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit88%
Chart Positions 4 History 12 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$116
7 days−$31
14 days−$31
30 days−$31
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? No 75¢ 74¢ $24 $24 −$0 (-1%)
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs EDward Gaming 46¢ 100¢ $9 $19 +$10 (+117%)
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? No 84¢ 84¢ $16 $16 −$0 (-1%)
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? No 78¢ 80¢ $8 $8 +$0 (+2%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Game Handicap: BLG (-2.5) vs Team WE (+2.5) Jun 13 $20 +$20 +96%
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs KT Rolster (+1.5) Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? Jun 13 $12 +$4 +36%
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $21 +$6 +28%
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 12 $27 −$27 -100%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $5 +$4 +78%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $24 +$17 +72%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 12 $21 +$9 +42%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $20 +$11 +56%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $158 −$158 -100%
Libema Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Zhizhen Zhang Jun 11 $41 +$126 +305%
Libema Open: Anastasia Potapova vs Zeynep Sonmez Jun 11 $41 −$41 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 92% −$27
other 8% +$6
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play BUY EDward Gaming 46¢ $9 1h
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? BUY No 75¢ $7 1h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 84¢ $4 1h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 84¢ $4 1h
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? BUY No 75¢ $3 1h
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? BUY No 75¢ $4 1h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 84¢ $8 1h
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? BUY No 75¢ $4 11h
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? BUY No 75¢ $7 11h
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? BUY No 78¢ $3 11h
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? BUY No 78¢ $2 11h
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? BUY No 78¢ $2 12h
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? BUY No 78¢ $2 12h
Game Handicap: BLG (-2.5) vs Team WE (+2.5) BUY Team WE 50¢ $20 12h
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs KT Rolster (+1.5) BUY KT Rolster 20¢ $2 12h
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 77¢ $4 27h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? BUY No 73¢ $1 27h
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 77¢ $2 27h
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 77¢ $2 27h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? BUY No 73¢ $3 27h
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 77¢ $10 27h
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 77¢ $2 27h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? BUY No 73¢ $2 27h
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 77¢ $2 27h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? BUY No 73¢ $20 27h
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? BUY No 71¢ $1 27h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? BUY No 73¢ $1 27h
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? BUY No 71¢ $1 32h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 1 Winner BUY TheMongolz 57¢ $1 32h
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 55¢ $5 32h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +67%
net ROI/market (all)+14.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 12 +26.1% +14.1% 67% 67% -16.7%
≤30d 12 +26.1% +14.1% 67% 67% -16.7%
≤90d 12 +26.1% +14.1% 67% 67% -16.7%
all 12 +26.1% +14.1% 67% 67% -16.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover24.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to10%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +14.1% 67% -16.7%
10% ← realistic here +3.1% 67% -24.7%
15% -6.8% 58% -32.0%
20% -16.0% 42% -38.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $67.36 · official $67.36 (match) · 69 history records