Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T10:28:23+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

78
0x780a…84f0
sports · 32 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$247,121 +17%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$247,077 · open +$45
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Chart Positions 1 History 31 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$50,831
7 days+$144,031
14 days+$152,953
30 days+$247,077
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria Elena Rybakina 83¢ 84¢ $129,178 $129,222 +$45 (+0%)
Roland Garros WTA: Victoria Mboko vs Madison Keys Victoria Mboko 51¢ $77,000 $0 −$77,000 (-100%)
Roland Garros WTA: Ann Li vs Diane Parry Ann Li 72¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Roland Garros WTA: Anastasia Potapova vs Anna Kalinskaya Anastasia Potapova 65¢ $63,288 $0 −$63,288 (-100%)
Jakub Mensik vs. Andrey Rublev: Total Sets O/U 4.5 Under 4.5 72¢ $13,571 $0 −$13,571 (-100%)
Roland Garros WTA: Hailey Baptiste vs Xiyu Wang Hailey Baptiste 68¢ $6,397 $0 −$6,397 (-100%)
Roland Garros WTA: Diana Shnaider vs Maja Chwalinska Diana Shnaider 62¢ $43,400 $0 −$43,400 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Jakub Mensik Alex de Minaur 80¢ $40,708 $0 −$40,708 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Raphael Collignon Raphael Collignon 71¢ $18,248 $0 −$18,248 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
HSBC Championships: Laura Siegemund vs Amanda Anisimova Jun 10 $173,143 +$50,831 +29%
France vs. Northern Ireland: O/U 1.5 Jun 08 $207,335 +$22,586 +11%
Set Handicap: Zverev (-2.5) vs Cobolli (+2.5) Jun 07 $137,844 +$69,501 +50%
Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Mirra Andreeva Jun 06 $2,863 +$1,114 +39%
Roland Garros WTA: Diana Shnaider vs Maja Chwalinska Jun 04 $43,717 −$43,400 -99%
Roland Garros WTA: Mirra Andreeva vs Sorana Cirstea Jun 02 $14,108 +$7,052 +50%
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Alejandro Tabilo Jun 01 $107,026 +$66,352 +62%
Roland Garros WTA: Anastasia Potapova vs Anna Kalinskaya Jun 01 $63,953 −$63,288 -99%
Jakub Mensik vs. Andrey Rublev: Total Sets O/U 4.5 May 31 $13,677 −$13,571 -99%
Roland Garros WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Belinda Bencic May 31 $94,041 +$58,089 +62%
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Brandon Nakashima May 31 $70,776 +$54,607 +77%
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Raphael Collignon May 30 $35,911 −$18,248 -51%
Roland Garros WTA: Victoria Mboko vs Madison Keys May 30 $77,076 −$77,000 -100%
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic May 29 $79,172 +$79,037 +100%
Roland Garros ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Jakub Mensik May 29 $40,708 −$40,708 -100%
Roland Garros ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo May 28 $34,531 +$63,820 +185%
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles? May 28 $10 +$25 +249%
Roland Garros WTA: Ann Li vs Diane Parry May 28 $1,373 −$643 -47%
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Yibing Wu May 28 $16,204 +$3,801 +24%
Roland Garros WTA: Iva Jovic vs Emma Navarro May 28 $2,115 +$1,056 +50%
Crystal Palace FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 0.5 May 28 $38,055 +$13,403 +35%
Roland Garros WTA: Hailey Baptiste vs Xiyu Wang May 27 $6,418 −$6,397 -100%
Roland Garros ATP: Sebastian Ofner vs Luciano Darderi May 26 $16,783 +$774 +5%
Roland Garros WTA: Emma Navarro vs Janice Tjen May 26 $5,032 +$692 +14%
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Andrea Pellegrino May 26 $849 +$330 +39%
Roland Garros ATP: Ignacio Buse vs Andrey Rublev May 25 $40,492 +$10,866 +27%
Roland Garros ATP: Stan Wawrinka vs Jesper de Jong May 25 $23,609 +$13,847 +59%
Stan Wawrinka vs. Jesper de Jong: Total Sets O/U 3.5 May 25 $2,958 +$1,289 +44%
Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Qinwen Zheng May 25 $11,455 −$8,495 -74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET May 25 $57 −$57 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET May 25 $1,838 −$188 -10%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% +$247,341
crypto 0% −$245
other 0% +$25
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria BUY Elena Rybakina 84¢ $102,481 33m
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria BUY Elena Rybakina 83¢ $10 37m
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria BUY Elena Rybakina 83¢ $49 48m
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria BUY Elena Rybakina 83¢ $49 48m
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria BUY Elena Rybakina 83¢ $39 48m
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria BUY Elena Rybakina 83¢ $507 56m
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria BUY Elena Rybakina 83¢ $6,130 58m
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria BUY Elena Rybakina 83¢ $343 58m
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria BUY Elena Rybakina 82¢ $911 1h
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria BUY Elena Rybakina 81¢ $3,362 20h
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria BUY Elena Rybakina 81¢ $4 22h
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria BUY Elena Rybakina 81¢ $30 23h
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria BUY Elena Rybakina 81¢ $9 23h
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria BUY Elena Rybakina 81¢ $43 24h
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria BUY Elena Rybakina 81¢ $21 24h
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria BUY Elena Rybakina 81¢ $213 26h
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria BUY Elena Rybakina 81¢ $8 27h
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria BUY Elena Rybakina 81¢ $5 28h
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria BUY Elena Rybakina 81¢ $81 28h
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria BUY Elena Rybakina 81¢ $21 28h
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria BUY Elena Rybakina 81¢ $15,496 28h
HSBC Championships: Laura Siegemund vs Amanda Anisimova BUY Amanda Anisimova 77¢ $11,288 46h
HSBC Championships: Laura Siegemund vs Amanda Anisimova BUY Amanda Anisimova 77¢ $3 46h
HSBC Championships: Laura Siegemund vs Amanda Anisimova BUY Amanda Anisimova 77¢ $16 46h
HSBC Championships: Laura Siegemund vs Amanda Anisimova BUY Amanda Anisimova 77¢ $5 46h
HSBC Championships: Laura Siegemund vs Amanda Anisimova BUY Amanda Anisimova 77¢ $9 46h
HSBC Championships: Laura Siegemund vs Amanda Anisimova BUY Amanda Anisimova 77¢ $1,781 46h
HSBC Championships: Laura Siegemund vs Amanda Anisimova BUY Amanda Anisimova 77¢ $145,567 46h
HSBC Championships: Laura Siegemund vs Amanda Anisimova BUY Amanda Anisimova 75¢ $8 47h
HSBC Championships: Laura Siegemund vs Amanda Anisimova BUY Amanda Anisimova 75¢ $15 47h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +61%
net ROI/market (all)-3.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 4 +32.4% +19.8% 100% 100% +15.5%
≤30d 31 +7.3% -3.0% 65% 61% +7.2%
≤90d 31 +7.3% -3.0% 65% 61% +7.2%
all 31 +7.3% -3.0% 65% 61% +7.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover49.5 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -3.0% 61% +7.2%
10% -12.2% 55% -3.1%
15% ← realistic here -20.7% 42% -12.5%
20% -28.5% 26% -21.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $129,222.22 · official $129,222.22 (match) · 929 history records