Wallet analysis

2026-06-19T17:13:45+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
77 0x77e7…88ad crypto 574 markets active 1h ago coverage 85d ⚠
UNRELIABLEdata unreliable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 84d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$16,333 (+1%) realized +$16,333 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -31% what you keep after slip
Net edge-31%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate97%558W / 16L
Whale WR100%big bets
Drawdown14%max
Avg bet$2,307per market
Trades / day34.5pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 85d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$7,511
world 0% +$11
tech 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-10.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 29 +1.1% -8.5% 93% 3% -9.1%
≤30d 65 -3.9% -13.0% 92% 2% -9.0%
≤90d 574 -1.2% -10.6% 97% 0% -9.0%
all 574 -1.2% -10.6% 97% 0% -9.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover34.5 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.6% 0% -9.0%
10% -19.2% 0% -17.7%
15% ← realistic here -27.0% 0% -25.7%
20% -34.1% 0% -33.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 17% · top 2 23% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
100% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -1% · $-wt +1% edge needs big-bet sizing — not flat-copyable
Big bets
big-bet WR 100% (≥$3,073) strong on big bets
Persistence
early +0% → late -3% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
4.8 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$19 vs −$187 · ×0.1 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×3.68 per $1 lost it wins $3.68
Copy size
≥ $700 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

85d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$16,333
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)97%
Wins / losses558 / 16
Whale WR (big bets)100%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)574 / 574
History coverage85d ⚠
Avg bet$2,307
Trades / day34.5
Drawdown14%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 574 Trades
no open positions (6 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 19? Jun 19 $20 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 19? Jun 19 $147 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 19? Jun 19 $46 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 19? Jun 19 $34 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 19? Jun 19 $9,111 +$64 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 19? Jun 19 $4,344 +$17 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 19? Jun 19 $1,327 +$4 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 19? Jun 19 $1,985 +$4 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 18? Jun 18 $10,514 +$84 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 18? Jun 18 $1,734 −$5 -0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on June 16? Jun 16 $4,184 +$77 +2%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on June 16? Jun 16 $2,025 +$21 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 16? Jun 16 $7,242 +$33 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 16? Jun 16 $1,705 +$6 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 16? Jun 16 $2,044 +$23 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on June 15? Jun 15 $319 +$3 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 15? Jun 15 $4,180 +$35 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 15? Jun 15 $4,391 +$16 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 15? Jun 15 $3,800 +$21 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 15? Jun 15 $3,636 +$39 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8AM ET Jun 15 $2,569 +$5 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7AM ET Jun 15 $498 +$1 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on June 14? Jun 14 $177 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 14? Jun 14 $11,512 +$20 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 13? Jun 13 $294 +$342 +116%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on June 13? Jun 13 $19 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 13? Jun 13 $15,704 +$15 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 13? Jun 13 $622 +$6 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 13? Jun 13 $360 −$356 -99%
Will SpaceX IPO on June 11, 2026? Jun 12 $7 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $1,689 +$6 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $4,995 +$40 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $1,384 +$3 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $9,397 +$112 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 11? Jun 11 $7 $0 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on June 9? Jun 09 $1,576 +$3 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 9? Jun 09 $1,640 +$5 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 9? Jun 09 $3,496 +$7 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 9? Jun 09 $10,168 +$421 +4%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 9? Jun 09 $87 −$82 -94%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 9? Jun 09 $88 −$82 -94%
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $62,000 on June 8? Jun 08 $5,678 +$19 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on June 8? Jun 08 $2,745 +$3 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 8? Jun 08 $946 +$9 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 8? Jun 08 $1,226 +$1 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 8? Jun 08 $175 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 8? Jun 08 $6,379 +$21 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 8? Jun 08 $18 −$16 -94%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on May 28? May 28 $2,411 +$7 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 27? May 27 $7,609 +$50 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 19? BUY No 100¢ $115 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 19? BUY Up 100¢ $1,955 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 19? BUY No 100¢ $46 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 19? BUY Yes 100¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 19? BUY Up 100¢ $30 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 19? BUY No 99¢ $32 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 19? BUY No 100¢ $280 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 19? BUY No 100¢ $530 2h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 19? BUY No 100¢ $399 2h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 19? BUY Yes 100¢ $28 2h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 19? BUY Yes 100¢ $6 2h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 19? BUY No 100¢ $100 2h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 19? BUY No 99¢ $18 2h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 19? BUY No 100¢ $998 3h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 19? BUY No 100¢ $556 3h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 19? BUY No 100¢ $499 3h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 19? BUY No 100¢ $1,637 4h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 19? BUY No 100¢ $100 4h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 19? BUY Yes 100¢ $697 4h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 19? BUY Yes 100¢ $399 4h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 19? BUY No 100¢ $235 4h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 19? BUY Yes 100¢ $2,028 4h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 19? BUY Yes 100¢ $995 4h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 19? BUY Yes 100¢ $10 5h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 19? BUY Yes 100¢ $1,165 5h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 19? BUY Yes 99¢ $144 5h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 19? BUY No 99¢ $319 5h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 19? BUY Yes 99¢ $1,207 6h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 19? BUY Yes 99¢ $5 6h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 19? BUY Yes 99¢ $1,960 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records