trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 3 | -7.4% | -16.2% | 67% | 67% | -79.6% |
| ≤30d | 4 | -30.6% | -37.2% | 50% | 50% | -80.1% |
| ≤90d | 27 | -10.1% | -18.7% | 37% | 7% | -44.5% |
| all | 27 | -10.1% | -18.7% | 37% | 7% | -44.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -18.7% | 7% | -44.5% |
| 10% | -26.4% | 7% | -49.8% |
| 15% | -33.6% | 7% | -54.7% |
| 20% | -40.1% | 0% | -59.1% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will South Africa win on 2026-06-24? | Jun 25 | $152 | +$63 | +42% |
| Czechia vs. Mexico: Both Teams to Score | Jun 25 | $303 | +$109 | +36% |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 20 | $2,326 | −$2,326 | -100% |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 13 | $73 | −$72 | -99% |
| Pam Bondi out as Attorney General by April 30? | Apr 02 | $200 | +$4 | +2% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Apr 02 | $415 | −$10 | -2% |
| US x Iran ceasefire by May 31? | Apr 02 | $115 | −$1 | -1% |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | Apr 02 | $325 | +$3 | +1% |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30? | Apr 02 | $66 | −$2 | -3% |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th? | Apr 02 | $256 | −$12 | -4% |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | Apr 02 | $51 | +$2 | +3% |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 30? | Apr 02 | $269 | +$5 | +2% |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th? | Apr 02 | $343 | +$2 | +1% |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15? | Apr 01 | $224 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Apr 01 | $15 | −$1 | -9% |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th? | Apr 01 | $15 | −$1 | -7% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | Apr 01 | $15 | −$1 | -9% |
| US forces enter Iran by December 31? | Apr 01 | $150 | −$4 | -2% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? | Apr 01 | $80 | $0 | +0% |
| US x Iran ceasefire by June 30? | Apr 01 | $42 | $0 | +0% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15? | Apr 01 | $30 | $0 | +1% |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15? | Apr 01 | $58 | $0 | +1% |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | Apr 01 | $45 | −$5 | -11% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET | Mar 31 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| US x Iran ceasefire by December 31? | Mar 31 | $10 | $0 | -4% |
| Will Trump visit China by May 31? | Mar 31 | $125 | −$9 | -7% |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th? | Mar 31 | $150 | −$2 | -1% |