Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T09:35:17+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

77
0x77d4…cf09
crypto · 85 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$3 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$11 · open −$12
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$33
Realized−$11
Unrealized−$12
Win rate (resolved)36%
Wins / losses25 / 44
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions16
Markets (closed)69 / 85
History coverage4d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day37.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit61%
Chart Positions 16 History 69 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$9
7 days−$11
14 days−$11
30 days−$11
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Anthony Albanese out as Prime Minister of Australia by June 30, 2026? Yes 4¢ 3¢ $8 $6 −$2 (-20%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 14? Yes 43¢ 81¢ $3 $6 +$3 (+90%)
No-Confidence Vote against Starmer by June 30? Yes 6¢ 10¢ $2 $3 +$1 (+58%)
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 17¢ 17¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-2%)
Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31? Yes 2¢ 3¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+8%)
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 9¢ 9¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+1%)
Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 9¢ 8¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-6%)
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 June 8-14? Yes 12¢ 12¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+4%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 15? No 9¢ 4¢ $3 $1 −$2 (-54%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 14? No 20¢ 18¢ $2 $1 −$0 (-8%)
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? Yes 24¢ 17¢ $2 $1 −$1 (-29%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 14? Yes 21¢ 5¢ $4 $1 −$3 (-77%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 16? No 15¢ 10¢ $2 $1 −$1 (-37%)
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $2 $1 −$1 (-70%)
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 June 8-14? Yes 10¢ 4¢ $2 $1 −$1 (-64%)
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31? No 42¢ 11¢ $2 $1 −$1 (-74%)
Israel closes its airspace by June 15? Yes 22¢ 1¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-95%)
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Up 19¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -94%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -94%
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 14 $71 −$2 -3%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 14 $77 −$6 -8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -95%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -95%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 -8%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -95%
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -94%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$1 -31%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$6 +307%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -82%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +76%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$4 +381%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 -22%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$3 +132%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -95%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$3 +144%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 13? Jun 13 $5 +$14 +300%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -95%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -89%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -99%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -95%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +7%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -40%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +27%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -94%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +129%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +2%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +126%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +20%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +135%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -90%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +41%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +143%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +116%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 68% −$11
other 20% −$11
politics 5% −$5
world 3% −$3
sports 2% +$6
weather 1% +$4
tech 1% −$2
economics 1% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Down 15¢ $2 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Down 11¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Down 15¢ $2 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $2 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $2 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $70 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $69 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $2 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET SELL Up 31¢ $71 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $77 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $2 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 28¢ $2 1h
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 June 8-14? BUY Yes 12¢ $2 4h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET SELL Down 38¢ $2 4h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $2 4h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Down 29¢ $2 4h
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Down 14¢ $2 4h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET SELL Up 20¢ $1 4h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $2 4h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 14? BUY Yes 20¢ $2 5h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 14? BUY Yes 25¢ $2 8h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 14? BUY No 20¢ $2 8h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 14? BUY Yes 75¢ $2 11h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 14? BUY Yes 20¢ $2 12h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 15? BUY No 8¢ $2 15h
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET SELL Down 59¢ $3 18h
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 18¢ $2 18h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET SELL Up 2¢ $0 18h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 10¢ $2 18h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET SELL Down 41¢ $3 18h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +32%
net ROI/market (all)-16.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 69 -8.0% -16.7% 36% 32% -14.2%
≤30d 69 -8.0% -16.7% 36% 32% -14.2%
≤90d 69 -8.0% -16.7% 36% 32% -14.2%
all 69 -8.0% -16.7% 36% 32% -14.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover37.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -16.7% 32% -14.2%
10% ← realistic here -24.7% 29% -22.5%
15% -32.0% 28% -29.9%
20% -38.6% 26% -36.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $32.63 · official $32.64 (match) · 136 history records