Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T21:29:17+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

77
0x77c5…f6a1
crypto · 1440 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$818 -8%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$818 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$818
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)53%
Wins / losses806 / 719
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1525 / 1440
History coverage117d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day22.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit90%
Chart Positions 0 History 1525 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$393
7 days−$393
14 days−$393
30 days−$393
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 26, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Omega - Map 2 Winner Omega 31¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Down 13¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - February 25, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - March 21, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: 9z vs Sharks - Map 2 Winner Sharks 39¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - February 23, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Dota 2: Aurora vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winner Xtreme Gaming 38¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Down 74¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Down 68¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 5PM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - February 27, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - March 21, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Up 81¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - March 21, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Up 83¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - March 21, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 5PM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 5PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 United States Grand Prix? Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Oscar Piastri win the Qatar Grand Prix? Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 29, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 1, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - February 10, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 13, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 11, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 3PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - February 9, 3PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 1, 7PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$2 -215%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 1AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - February 6, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $0 −$1 -510%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 29, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 13 $0 −$1 -870%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 11, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 13, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $0 −$1 -643%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 2AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 83% −$449
other 14% +$35
sports 3% −$26
finance 0% −$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET SELL Up 13¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 18¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 26¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 81¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 29¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 15¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 35¢ $1 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 100¢ $21 18h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET SELL Down 21¢ $2 21h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $5 21h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $5 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $5 21h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 47¢ $10 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $3 46d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $2 46d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET SELL Up 9¢ $2 46d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $17 46d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $1 46d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $1 46d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET SELL Up 65¢ $2 46d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 46d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +38%
net ROI/market (all)-20.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 92 -94.2% -94.8% 2% 2% -87.3%
≤30d 92 -94.2% -94.8% 2% 2% -87.3%
≤90d 792 -16.6% -24.5% 48% 38% -17.8%
all 1525 -11.5% -20.0% 53% 38% -16.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover22.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -20.0% 38% -16.7%
10% ← realistic here -27.6% 29% -24.7%
15% -34.6% 24% -32.0%
20% -41.0% 19% -38.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records