Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T01:12:51+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

77
0x77bb…c348
crypto · 3 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$27 -81%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$27 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY crypto specialist⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$27
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)33%
Wins / losses1 / 2
Open positions0
Markets (closed)3 / 3
History coverage1d
Avg bet$11
Trades / day6.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 3 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$27
7 days−$27
14 days−$27
30 days−$27
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $26 −$25 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$4 +392%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$27
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 29¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $5 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $5 29h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 19¢ $1 30h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)+48.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 3 +64.2% +48.5% 33% 33% -85.3%
≤30d 3 +64.2% +48.5% 33% 33% -85.3%
≤90d 3 +64.2% +48.5% 33% 33% -85.3%
all 3 +64.2% +48.5% 33% 33% -85.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover6.0 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +48.5% 33% -85.3%
10% +34.3% 33% -86.7%
15% +21.3% 33% -88.0%
20% +9.4% 33% -89.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 7 history records