Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T20:16:39+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

77
0x77b2…24bd
crypto · 316 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$6,856 -21%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$6,841 · open −$15
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1,876
Realized−$6,841
Unrealized−$15
Win rate (resolved)29%
Wins / losses226 / 550
Open positions3
Markets (closed)776 / 316
History coverage1d
Avg bet$102
Trades / day3211.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 3 History 776 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$6,841
7 days−$6,841
14 days−$6,841
30 days−$6,841
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Up 30¢ 100¢ $201 $659 +$459 (+228%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Down 33¢ 100¢ $188 $576 +$388 (+206%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Up 66¢ 100¢ $218 $330 +$112 (+52%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Up 61¢ 100¢ $59 $96 +$37 (+64%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Up 44¢ 100¢ $36 $80 +$45 (+126%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Up 46¢ 100¢ $11 $24 +$13 (+116%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Down 36¢ 100¢ $8 $21 +$14 (+178%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Down 54¢ 100¢ $11 $21 +$9 (+84%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Up 56¢ 100¢ $11 $20 +$9 (+78%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Down 73¢ 86¢ $13 $15 +$2 (+17%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Down 66¢ 81¢ $3 $4 +$1 (+23%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Up 56¢ 14¢ $15 $4 −$11 (-74%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Down 46¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+117%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Up 46¢ 18¢ $2 $1 −$1 (-60%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Down 46¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+117%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Down 76¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+32%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Up 96¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+4%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Down 66¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+51%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Up 86¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+16%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Up 86¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+16%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Down 66¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+51%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Up 96¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+4%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Up 56¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+79%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Up 46¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+117%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Up 26¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+285%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $201 +$459 +228%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $188 +$388 +206%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $103 −$103 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $59 +$37 +64%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $36 +$45 +126%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$14 +178%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 12 $196 −$196 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $11 +$9 +78%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +117%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +32%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +52%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +16%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +52%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +79%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +117%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$1 +285%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +117%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +16%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +78%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +79%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +78%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +52%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +79%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +79%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +32%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +78%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +52%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +32%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +117%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +78%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +16%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +285%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +178%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +117%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +178%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +32%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +52%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +78%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +117%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +117%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$141
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $8 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $3 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $6 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $5 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $3 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $2 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $5 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $0 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $2 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $1 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $2 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $3 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $3 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $3 5m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $3 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $6 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $7 6m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $1 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 16¢ $1 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $6 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $7 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $6 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $5 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $7 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $7 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 26¢ $2 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $3 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $5 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $0 7m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $2 7m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +24%
net ROI/market (all)-51.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 776 -46.8% -51.9% 29% 24% -24.8%
≤30d 776 -46.8% -51.9% 29% 24% -24.8%
≤90d 776 -46.8% -51.9% 29% 24% -24.8%
all 776 -46.8% -51.9% 29% 24% -24.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3211.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -51.9% 24% -24.8%
10% ← realistic here -56.5% 19% -32.0%
15% -60.7% 13% -38.5%
20% -64.6% 10% -44.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1,876.01 · official $1,851.99 · 3500 history records