trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | +12.0% | +1.3% | 100% | 100% | +1.3% |
| ≤30d | 1 | +12.0% | +1.3% | 100% | 100% | +1.3% |
| ≤90d | 5 | -14.7% | -22.9% | 60% | 60% | -5.3% |
| all | 11 | -18.0% | -25.8% | 36% | 36% | -35.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -25.8% | 36% | -35.2% |
| 10% | -32.9% | 18% | -41.4% |
| 15% | -39.4% | 18% | -47.1% |
| 20% | -45.3% | 9% | -52.2% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20? | Yes | 84¢ | 84¢ | $375 | $377 | +$2 (+1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 20 | $464 | +$56 | +12% |
| Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs | May 19 | $137 | +$63 | +46% |
| Counter-Strike: Legacy vs M80 (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B | May 12 | $76 | −$76 | -100% |
| LoL: T1 Academy vs Gen.G Global Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League | May 12 | $177 | +$23 | +13% |
| JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10? | Apr 09 | $52 | −$23 | -45% |
| Raptors vs. Pelicans | Mar 11 | $550 | −$550 | -100% |
| Nuggets vs. Heat | Dec 29 | $50 | −$50 | -100% |
| Cavaliers vs. Spurs | Dec 29 | $50 | −$50 | -100% |
| Timberwolves vs. Bulls | Dec 29 | $101 | −$50 | -50% |
| Nets vs. Timberwolves | Dec 28 | $50 | +$189 | +376% |
| No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting? | Oct 29 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |