trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 10 | +65.3% | +49.5% | 70% | 60% | +66.3% |
| ≤30d | 10 | +65.3% | +49.5% | 70% | 60% | +66.3% |
| ≤90d | 10 | +65.3% | +49.5% | 70% | 60% | +66.3% |
| all | 10 | +65.3% | +49.5% | 70% | 60% | +66.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +49.5% | 60% | +66.3% |
| 10% | +35.2% | 50% | +50.4% |
| 15% | +22.2% | 50% | +35.9% |
| 20% | +10.2% | 50% | +22.5% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Starmer out by June 22, 2026? | Yes | 70¢ | 78¢ | $246 | $275 | +$28 (+11%) |
| Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027? | No | 69¢ | 58¢ | $207 | $176 | −$31 (-15%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. lift direct Iran OFAC sanctions by June 17, 2026? | Jun 22 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar? | Jun 22 | $130 | −$113 | -87% |
| Starmer out by June 30, 2026? | Jun 20 | $477 | +$780 | +163% |
| Makerfield by-election: Restore Britain receives 10%+? | Jun 19 | $164 | +$135 | +83% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026? | Jun 18 | $26 | +$2 | +10% |
| Will Iran close its airspace by June 30? | Jun 17 | $63 | +$92 | +147% |
| Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30? | Jun 17 | $57 | +$7 | +12% |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | Jun 16 | $13 | +$36 | +280% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 16, 2026? | Jun 16 | $13 | +$20 | +149% |
| Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2026 New York 8th District Democratic Pri | Jun 16 | $189 | −$7 | -4% |