Wallet analysis

2026-06-16T01:42:19+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
77 0x7784…8489 crypto 1571 markets active 1h ago coverage 32d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 32d only
✗ bot/MM pace (71 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL −$1,373 (-6%) realized −$1,373 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -2% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -25% what you keep after slip
Net edge-25%after slip
Net WR30%break-even
Win rate80%1253W / 318L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$15per market
Trades / day70.8pace
Fees−$0est.
Kalshi-fit90%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$767
7 days−$1,461
14 days−$1,325
30 days−$923
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 97% −$948
other 3% −$7
tech 0% +$5
sports 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (71 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +30%
net ROI/market (all)-11.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 324 -10.5% -19.1% 60% 59% -22.5%
≤30d 882 -3.2% -12.4% 66% 54% -13.6%
≤90d 1571 -2.1% -11.4% 80% 30% -13.1%
all 1571 -2.1% -11.4% 80% 30% -13.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover70.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.4% 30% -13.1%
10% ← realistic here -19.9% 28% -21.4%
15% -27.7% 22% -29.0%
20% -34.7% 14% -36.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 4% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -4% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
62% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -2% · $-wt -4% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -0% → late -4% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.1 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$5 vs −$21 · ×0.22 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.86 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

32d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$1,373
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)80%
Wins / losses1253 / 318
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1571 / 1571
History coverage32d ⚠
Avg bet$15
Trades / day70.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit90%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1571 Trades
no open positions (3 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 16 $40 +$17 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 16 $20 +$5 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 15 $40 −$39 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 15 $40 +$11 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 15 $41 −$40 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 15 $20 −$20 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 15 $6 +$4 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 15 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 15 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 15 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 15 $6 +$2 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 15 $6 +$2 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 15 $6 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 15 $6 +$4 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 15 $9 −$2 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 15 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 15 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 15 $6 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 15 $6 +$3 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 15 $6 +$3 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 15 $6 +$2 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 15 $12 +$5 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 15 $12 +$6 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 15 $9 +$4 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 15 $5 +$3 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 15 $5 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 15 $4 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 15 $5 +$2 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 15 $9 −$3 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 15 $10 −$3 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET SELL Up 88¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET SELL Up 89¢ $32 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET SELL Down 88¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $20 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $20 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET SELL Down 89¢ $26 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET SELL Down 89¢ $26 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $20 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $16 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $20 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $20 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $20 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET SELL Up 89¢ $9 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $6 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $6 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $6 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET SELL Down 92¢ $8 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $6 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET SELL Down 88¢ $7 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $6 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET SELL Up 88¢ $7 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $6 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $7 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET SELL Up 89¢ $9 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $6 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET SELL Down 88¢ $7 8h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records