Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T12:43:48+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

77
0x7784…f0c2
crypto · 117 markets active 1h ago
4.0score
+$41 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$37 · open +$4
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$121
Realized+$37
Unrealized+$4
Win rate (resolved)92%
Wins / losses104 / 9
Open positions4
Markets (closed)113 / 117
History coverage682d
Avg bet$300
Trades / day0.2
Drawdown30%
Kalshi-fit91%
Chart Positions 4 History 113 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$0
7 days+$0
14 days+$1
30 days+$1
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 13? No 100¢ 100¢ $105 $105 −$0 (-0%)
StandX FDV above $800M one day after launch? No 34¢ 82¢ $3 $7 +$4 (+143%)
Ukraine election called by June 30, 2026? No 99¢ 98¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
New "Stranger Things" episode released by June 30? No 99¢ 99¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 10? Jun 12 $116 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 5? Jun 07 $116 $0 +0%
Will Solana reach $130 in May? Jun 04 $2 $0 +2%
Will BNB dip to $300 in May? Jun 04 $3 $0 +1%
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? Jun 04 $4 $0 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 23? Jun 01 $154 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 15? May 22 $163 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on May 13? May 15 $166 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $86,000 on May 5? May 11 $167 $0 +0%
Will Solana dip to $50 in April? May 04 $2 $0 +6%
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30? May 04 $3 $0 +6%
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $240 end of April? May 04 $3 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,600 and $2,700 on April 30? May 04 $157 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on April 28? Apr 29 $153 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 24? Apr 27 $155 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on April 19? Apr 23 $159 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 15? Apr 16 $165 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on April 11? Apr 12 $165 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 7? Apr 10 $160 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 6? Apr 07 $167 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 3? Apr 05 $165 $0 +0%
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $60-$65 in March? Apr 02 $6 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on April 1? Apr 02 $154 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on March 29? Mar 30 $161 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 28? Mar 28 $154 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $62,000 on March 25? Mar 26 $159 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on March 23? Mar 24 $164 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on March 20? Mar 22 $159 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on March 18? Mar 19 $167 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $78,000 on March 16? Mar 17 $164 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on March 14? Mar 15 $160 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 11? Mar 13 $162 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $78,000 on March 10? Mar 11 $161 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on March 8? Mar 09 $160 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,400 on March 1? Mar 07 $159 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on February 27? Feb 28 $158 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on February 24? Feb 25 $159 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on February 20? Feb 21 $161 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on February 17? Feb 19 $163 +$1 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on February 15? Feb 16 $156 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on February 13? Feb 14 $158 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on February 1 Feb 12 $158 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on February 10? Feb 11 $162 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on February 8? Feb 09 $159 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on February 6? Feb 07 $159 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $90,000 and $92,000 on February 3 Feb 05 $155 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on February 1? Feb 02 $151 $0 +0%
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of January 2026? Feb 01 $5 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on January 30? Jan 31 $154 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $78,000 on January 28? Jan 29 $159 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
politics 73% +$13
crypto 27% +$10
other 0% +$4
world 0% $0
tech 0% +$1
finance 0% +$3
sports 0% +$8
culture 0% $0
economics 0% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 13? BUY No 100¢ $105 31m
Ukraine election called by June 30, 2026? BUY No 99¢ $5 4h
New "Stranger Things" episode released by June 30? BUY No 99¢ $5 4h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 10? BUY No 100¢ $116 3d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 5? BUY No 100¢ $116 7d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 23? BUY Yes 100¢ $154 21d
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? BUY No 99¢ $4 27d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 15? BUY Yes 100¢ $163 28d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on May 13? BUY No 100¢ $166 31d
Will Solana reach $130 in May? BUY No 98¢ $2 33d
Will BNB dip to $300 in May? BUY No 99¢ $3 33d
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $86,000 on May 5? BUY No 100¢ $167 38d
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,600 and $2,700 on April 30? BUY No 100¢ $157 43d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on April 28? BUY No 100¢ $153 45d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 24? BUY Yes 100¢ $155 49d
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $240 end of April? BUY Yes 100¢ $3 51d
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30? BUY No 94¢ $3 51d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on April 19? BUY No 100¢ $159 54d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 15? BUY No 100¢ $165 59d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on April 11? BUY Yes 100¢ $165 63d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 7? BUY No 100¢ $160 66d
Will Solana dip to $50 in April? BUY No 94¢ $2 67d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 6? BUY No 100¢ $167 68d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 3? BUY No 100¢ $165 71d
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on April 1? BUY No 100¢ $154 73d
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on March 29? BUY No 100¢ $161 75d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 28? BUY No 100¢ $154 76d
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $62,000 on March 25? BUY No 100¢ $159 80d
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $60-$65 in March? BUY No 100¢ $6 81d
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on March 23? BUY No 100¢ $164 81d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +18%
net ROI/market (all)-6.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 2 +0.1% -9.4% 100% 0% -9.4%
≤30d 8 +0.5% -9.1% 100% 0% -9.4%
≤90d 31 +0.6% -9.0% 100% 0% -9.4%
all 113 +3.9% -6.0% 92% 18% -9.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.2 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -6.0% 18% -9.4%
10% -15.0% 9% -18.1%
15% -23.2% 6% -26.0%
20% -30.7% 4% -33.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $121.23 · official $121.23 (match) · 280 history records