Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T08:00:10+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

77
0x777f…a1bb
tech · 537 markets active 14h ago
1.0score
+$39,942 +11%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$24,671 · open +$16,842
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$115,520
Realized+$24,671
Unrealized+$16,842
Win rate (resolved)32%
Wins / losses227 / 491
Whale WR (big bets)54%
Open positions146
Markets (closed)718 / 537
Avg bet$693
Trades / day31.2
Drawdown68%
Kalshi-fit71%
Chart Positions 146 History 718 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$26,303
7 days−$21,668
14 days−$21,668
30 days−$18,029
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June? No 61¢ 99¢ $9,959 $16,103 +$6,144 (+62%)
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June? No 78¢ 98¢ $8,675 $10,943 +$2,269 (+26%)
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June? No 88¢ 96¢ $7,997 $8,659 +$662 (+8%)
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June? No 79¢ 88¢ $6,790 $7,640 +$850 (+13%)
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of June? No 22¢ 99¢ $1,564 $7,022 +$5,459 (+349%)
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June? No 75¢ 99¢ $4,753 $6,335 +$1,582 (+33%)
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at >$84 in June? Yes 61¢ 61¢ $4,758 $4,762 +$4 (+0%)
Will Gold (GC) settle at >$6,200 in June? No 75¢ 99¢ $3,047 $4,016 +$970 (+32%)
Will Silver (SI) settle at >$115 in June? No 68¢ 99¢ $2,134 $3,123 +$989 (+46%)
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June? No 68¢ 99¢ $2,051 $2,986 +$935 (+46%)
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June? No 84¢ 93¢ $2,213 $2,474 +$260 (+12%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes 22¢ 22¢ $2,433 $2,441 +$8 (+0%)
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of June? No 47¢ 100¢ $1,143 $2,422 +$1,279 (+112%)
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June? No 66¢ 98¢ $1,364 $2,007 +$643 (+47%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes 47¢ 41¢ $2,166 $1,887 −$279 (-13%)
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,200 by end of June? No 71¢ 100¢ $1,290 $1,797 +$506 (+39%)
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,700 by end of June? No 45¢ 99¢ $760 $1,665 +$905 (+119%)
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June? Yes 28¢ 19¢ $2,195 $1,471 −$724 (-33%)
Will Gold (GC) settle at $5,000-$5,400 in June? No 81¢ 99¢ $1,105 $1,350 +$245 (+22%)
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $77-$84 in June? No 79¢ 79¢ $1,329 $1,329 +$0 (+0%)
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June? No 68¢ 99¢ $888 $1,295 +$406 (+46%)
Will Gold (GC) settle over $4,600 on the final trading day of June 2026? No 30¢ 89¢ $377 $1,111 +$734 (+195%)
Will Gold (GC) settle at <$3,800 in June? Yes 11¢ 10¢ $1,112 $1,110 −$2 (-0%)
Will Gold (GC) settle at $3,800-$4,200 in June? Yes 7¢ 38¢ $163 $838 +$675 (+415%)
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $170 by end of June? No 76¢ 99¢ $570 $748 +$178 (+31%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at $410-$420 on the final day of trading o Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Meta (META) finish week of February 16 above $640? Jun 12 $36 −$81 -224%
Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of February 23 above $110? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $400 end of February? Jun 12 $90 −$68 -75%
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $400 on February 17? Jun 12 $17 −$17 -100%
Will Ethereum dip to $3200 in August? Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $160 end of January? Jun 12 $9 +$37 +386%
Will Palantir (PLTR) finish week of November 17 above $167? Jun 12 $43 −$43 -100%
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at >$195 on the final day of trading of the w Jun 12 $91 −$86 -94%
Will Palantir (PLTR) finish week of November 17 above $168? Jun 12 $66 −$66 -100%
Will Google (GOOGL) close at $250–265 in 2025? Jun 12 $42 −$42 -100%
Will Tesla (TSLA) close at <$395 on the final day of trading of the we Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on January 8? Jun 12 $103 −$103 -100%
Will Ethereum dip to $3000 in August? Jun 12 $58 −$58 -100%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $70 by end of March? Jun 12 $426 −$426 -100%
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of February? Jun 12 $2,997 −$2,992 -100%
Will Solana reach $170 in January? Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $190-$195 on the final day of trading of t Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of December 22 above $195? Jun 12 $184 −$184 -100%
Will Meta (META) close above $640 end of January? Jun 12 $774 −$1,886 -244%
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? Jun 12 $89 −$89 -100%
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at $440–460 in 2025? Jun 12 $94 −$23 -24%
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of January 19 above $190? Jun 12 $732 −$732 -100%
Will Netflix dip to $70 in January? Jun 12 $14 −$72 -508%
Will Palantir (PLTR) finish week of February 16 above $135? Jun 12 $13 −$13 -100%
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of January 19 above $175? Jun 12 $1 −$22 -1793%
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $165–170 in 2025? Jun 12 $0 −$2 -5661%
Will Google (GOOGL) hit $275 before 2026?? Jun 12 $25 −$25 -100%
Will Palantir (PLTR) finish week of January 5 above $174? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Apple (AAPL) finish week of February 16 above $260? Jun 12 $13 −$13 -100%
Will Trump and Putin not meet? Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Google (GOOGL) close at $340-$345 on the final day of trading of Jun 12 $14 −$5 -38%
Will Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of December 1 above $470? Jun 12 $38 −$38 -100%
Will Rocket Lab (RKLB) finish week of November 17 above $37? Jun 12 $42 −$42 -100%
Will Google (GOOGL) close at $325-$330 on the final day of trading of Jun 12 $31 −$31 -100%
Will Tesla (TSLA) close at $425-$430 on the final day of trading of th Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
US recession in 2025? Jun 12 $0 −$18 -19102%
Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $195 on February 12? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $290 end of January? Jun 12 $7 −$7 -104%
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $435 end of December? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of January 12 above $410? Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of January 12 above $420? Jun 12 $60 −$60 -100%
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $390 on February 12? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June? Jun 12 $316 −$317 -100%
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $270 on February 10? Jun 12 $86 −$86 -100%
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $420 on February 10? Jun 12 $25 −$50 -205%
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of January 12 above $180? Jun 12 $17 −$17 -100%
Will Airbnb (ABNB) close above $100 end of November? Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $345 end of February? Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $117K on August 11 at 5PM ET? Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
finance 76% +$20,214
other 16% +$59,133
tech 7% −$447
crypto 1% +$365
sports 0% −$271
economics 0% −$16
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in June? BUY Yes 9¢ $5 14h
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June? BUY No 89¢ $121 14h
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June? BUY No 88¢ $282 14h
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June? BUY No 85¢ $2,527 14h
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $92 on June 11? BUY Yes 17¢ $56 16h
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 5¢ $208 16h
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June? BUY No 75¢ $528 20h
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June? BUY No 90¢ $2,107 20h
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June? BUY No 84¢ $814 20h
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of June? BUY Yes 86¢ $57 38h
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $94 on June 10? BUY Yes 4¢ $20 40h
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $94 on June 10? BUY Yes 4¢ $19 40h
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June? BUY No 73¢ $152 40h
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June? BUY Yes 18¢ $6 40h
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June? BUY Yes 37¢ $191 40h
Will the price of XRP be above $1.10 on June 10? BUY No 2¢ $1 40h
Will the price of XRP be above $1.10 on June 10? BUY No 4¢ $0 40h
Will the price of XRP be above $1.10 on June 10? BUY No 4¢ $1 40h
Will the price of XRP be above $1.10 on June 10? BUY No 9¢ $0 40h
Will the price of XRP be above $1.10 on June 10? BUY No 9¢ $1 40h
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $92 on June 10? BUY Yes 11¢ $35 41h
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $91 on June 10? BUY Yes 21¢ $22 41h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 11? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 42h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 11? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 42h
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June? BUY Yes 37¢ $10 42h
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June? BUY No 82¢ $273 42h
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June? BUY No 52¢ $544 42h
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June? BUY Yes 7¢ $455 42h
Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in June? BUY Yes 11¢ $448 42h
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June? BUY Yes 18¢ $220 42h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +24%
net ROI/market (all)-29.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 297 -47.3% -52.3% 8% 8% -38.8%
≤30d 344 -34.7% -40.9% 19% 17% -25.4%
≤90d 571 -24.0% -31.2% 32% 25% -2.1%
all 718 -21.5% -29.0% 32% 24% -1.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover31.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -29.0% 24% -1.4%
10% ← realistic here -35.8% 19% -10.8%
15% -42.0% 15% -19.4%
20% -47.7% 13% -27.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $115,519.87 · official $115,519.60 (match) · 3500 history records