Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T10:06:15+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

77
0x7772…0e56
sports · 304 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$23 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$173 · open +$181
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$659
Realized−$173
Unrealized+$181
Win rate (resolved)42%
Wins / losses126 / 173
Whale WR (big bets)71%
Est. fees paid−$445
Open positions5
Markets (closed)299 / 304
History coverage33d
Avg bet$114
Trades / day29.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit94%
Chart Positions 5 History 299 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$374
7 days−$984
14 days−$231
30 days−$380
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5) B8 56¢ 100¢ $123 $219 +$96 (+78%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Aurora Gaming 42¢ 42¢ $175 $177 +$2 (+1%)
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Over 46¢ 68¢ $100 $149 +$49 (+49%)
Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the 2026 World Series? Yes 3¢ 4¢ $56 $83 +$27 (+49%)
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 8¢ 11¢ $25 $32 +$7 (+29%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5) Jun 13 $62 −$62 -100%
Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5) Jun 13 $100 −$100 -100%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds Jun 13 $100 +$104 +104%
Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5) Jun 13 $100 +$156 +156%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $100 +$117 +117%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $90 +$97 +108%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $100 +$54 +54%
Spread: Kansas City Royals (-1.5) Jun 12 $100 −$100 -100%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $100 +$59 +59%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S Jun 11 $101 −$101 -100%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $102 −$102 -100%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $198 +$252 +127%
Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-1.5) Jun 11 $100 −$100 -100%
Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5) Jun 11 $122 +$264 +216%
Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5) Jun 10 $100 +$173 +172%
Spread: Colorado Rockies (-1.5) Jun 10 $100 +$245 +245%
Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5) Jun 10 $101 −$101 -100%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 10 $274 −$274 -100%
Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5) Jun 09 $76 −$76 -100%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $324 −$324 -100%
Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5) Jun 09 $100 +$170 +170%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $701 −$701 -100%
New York Mets vs. San Diego Padres Jun 08 $100 −$100 -100%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $100 +$108 +108%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $100 −$100 -100%
Seattle Mariners vs. Detroit Tigers Jun 07 $100 −$100 -100%
Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 07 $100 −$100 -100%
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $270 +$230 +85%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs M80 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $100 +$52 +52%
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Atlanta Braves Jun 07 $100 −$100 -100%
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5) Jun 07 $102 −$102 -100%
New York Mets vs. San Diego Padres Jun 07 $100 +$117 +117%
Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 06 $100 −$100 -100%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MIBR (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $101 +$24 +24%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs M80 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $100 +$127 +127%
Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals Jun 06 $100 −$100 -100%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs GamerLegion (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 06 $101 +$66 +65%
Counter-Strike: paiN vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $101 +$103 +101%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs 9z (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $100 +$144 +144%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs M80 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $100 −$100 -100%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs B8 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $200 −$200 -100%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs GamerLegion (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 06 $200 −$200 -100%
Washington Nationals vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 8.5 Jun 06 $100 −$100 -100%
Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals Jun 06 $102 −$102 -100%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Colorado Rockies Jun 06 $102 −$102 -100%
Athletics vs. Houston Astros Jun 06 $102 +$98 +97%
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5) Jun 06 $165 +$212 +129%
Counter-Strike: NRG vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 05 $102 −$102 -100%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 05 $743 +$930 +125%
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FlyQuest (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 05 $295 −$295 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 83% −$1,565
other 9% +$825
crypto 7% +$527
politics 1% +$323
world 1% −$102
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Aurora Gaming 42¢ $178 1h
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 46¢ $100 1h
Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5) BUY B8 56¢ $125 1h
Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5) BUY Cleveland Guardians 35¢ $100 11h
Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5) BUY Pittsburgh Pirates 39¢ $2 11h
Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5) BUY Pittsburgh Pirates 39¢ $2 11h
Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5) BUY Pittsburgh Pirates 39¢ $2 11h
Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5) BUY Pittsburgh Pirates 39¢ $5 11h
Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5) BUY Pittsburgh Pirates 39¢ $2 11h
Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5) BUY Pittsburgh Pirates 39¢ $2 11h
Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5) BUY Pittsburgh Pirates 39¢ $3 11h
Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5) BUY Pittsburgh Pirates 39¢ $3 11h
Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5) BUY Pittsburgh Pirates 39¢ $31 16h
Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5) BUY Pittsburgh Pirates 39¢ $1 16h
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds BUY Arizona Diamondbacks 49¢ $100 19h
Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5) BUY Baltimore Orioles 39¢ $78 19h
Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5) BUY Baltimore Orioles 39¢ $20 19h
Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5) BUY Baltimore Orioles 39¢ $3 20h
Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5) BUY Pittsburgh Pirates 39¢ $8 21h
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 48¢ $24 25h
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 48¢ $3 25h
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 48¢ $2 25h
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 48¢ $21 25h
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 48¢ $14 25h
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 48¢ $10 26h
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 48¢ $1 26h
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 48¢ $2 26h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY TheMongolz 65¢ $100 26h
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 48¢ $13 27h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 46¢ $100 30h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +41%
net ROI/market (all)-12.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 45 -3.3% -12.5% 44% 44% -24.5%
≤30d 295 -4.1% -13.2% 42% 41% -10.6%
≤90d 299 -3.3% -12.5% 42% 41% -10.0%
all 299 -3.3% -12.5% 42% 41% -10.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover29.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.5% 41% -10.0%
10% ← realistic here -20.9% 40% -18.6%
15% -28.5% 38% -26.5%
20% -35.5% 36% -33.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $659.01 · official $659.01 (match) · 1338 history records