Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T09:57:31+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

77
0x7771…009f
sports · 641 markets active 0h ago
0.5score
+$1,951 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$1,903 · open +$48
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Net worth$591
Realized+$1,903
Unrealized+$48
Win rate (resolved)47%
Wins / losses297 / 340
Whale WR (big bets)49%
Est. fees paid−$2,543
Open positions4
Markets (closed)637 / 641
History coverage63d
Avg bet$267
Trades / day50.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit94%
Chart Positions 4 History 637 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$837
7 days+$2,213
14 days−$3,039
30 days−$542
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner Gen.G 80¢ 100¢ $466 $582 +$116 (+25%)
Will Maxim De Cuyper be in Belgium's Starting 11? Yes 77¢ 78¢ $8 $8 +$0 (+2%)
Will Weverton be in Brazil's Starting 11? Yes $1 $1 +$0 (+46%)
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner KT Rolster 23¢ $69 $0 −$69 (-100%)
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 3 Winner Deep Cross Gaming 41¢ $127 $0 −$127 (-100%)
LoL: Ultra Prime vs Oh My God - Game 1 Winner Oh My God 43¢ $172 $0 −$172 (-100%)
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winner BetBoom Team 55¢ $88 $0 −$88 (-100%)
LoL: HANJIN BRION Challengers vs T1 Academy - Game 2 Winner HANJIN BRION Challengers 18¢ $36 $0 −$36 (-100%)
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora (BO5) - DreamLeague Playoffs Aurora 58¢ $232 $0 −$232 (-100%)
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner LYON 42¢ $376 $0 −$376 (-100%)
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Anyones Legend 36¢ $108 $0 −$108 (-100%)
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winner JD Gaming 14¢ $70 $0 −$70 (-100%)
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 3 Winner Team Secret Whales 63¢ $252 $0 −$252 (-100%)
LoL: FlyQuest vs Sentinels - Game 1 Winner Sentinels 52¢ $414 $0 −$414 (-100%)
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winner G2 Esports 69¢ $276 $0 −$276 (-100%)
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winner Team Yandex 58¢ $174 $0 −$174 (-100%)
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winner Team Yandex 61¢ $250 $0 −$250 (-100%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner KT Rolster 37¢ $395 $0 −$395 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs MOUZ (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Playoffs MOUZ 34¢ $102 $0 −$102 (-100%)
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winner Team Falcons 50¢ $59 $0 −$59 (-100%)
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 2 Winner DN SOOPers 36¢ $143 $0 −$143 (-100%)
LoL: Gen.G vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 Gen.G 20¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
LoL: Oh My God vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 Winner EDward Gaming 39¢ $312 $0 −$312 (-100%)
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner Weibo Gaming 43¢ $519 $0 −$519 (-100%)
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 4 Winner Deep Cross Gaming 35¢ $175 $0 −$175 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $437 +$363 +83%
Will Morocco go unbeaten in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage? Jun 12 $19 −$2 -9%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner Jun 12 $604 +$183 +30%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner Jun 12 $187 −$186 -99%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $384 +$487 +127%
Will Ferran Torres be in Spain's Starting 11? Jun 12 $19 −$2 -8%
Will Diogo Dalot be in Portugal's Starting 11? Jun 12 $4 −$1 -32%
Will Juan Portilla be in Colombia's Starting 11? Jun 12 $4 −$1 -20%
Will Gustavo Puerta be in Colombia's Starting 11? Jun 12 $3 $0 -3%
Will Pedro Neto be in Portugal's Starting 11? Jun 12 $3 $0 -1%
Will Richard Ríos be in Colombia's Starting 11? Jun 11 $19 −$4 -20%
Will Luis Javier Suárez be in Colombia's Starting 11? Jun 11 $2 $0 -12%
Will Davinson Sánchez be in Colombia's Starting 11? Jun 11 $18 $0 -0%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 08 $110 −$108 -98%
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 2 Winner Jun 08 $203 +$197 +97%
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs paiN Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America Jun 07 $80 −$80 -100%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs Jun 07 $435 +$265 +61%
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $492 +$129 +26%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 4 Winner Jun 07 $255 +$90 +35%
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $119 −$118 -99%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $248 +$152 +61%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $225 +$227 +101%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $215 +$85 +40%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $317 +$346 +109%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $207 −$198 -96%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $162 −$159 -98%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 4 Winner Jun 07 $284 +$168 +59%
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $640 +$230 +36%
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $204 +$96 +47%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $290 +$440 +152%
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $76 +$137 +181%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 07 $259 −$255 -99%
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 07 $131 −$129 -99%
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $425 +$219 +52%
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $127 −$127 -100%
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $180 +$83 +46%
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $255 −$252 -99%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $388 −$383 -99%
LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid - Game 4 Winner Jun 07 $408 +$119 +29%
LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner Jun 06 $215 +$185 +86%
LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winner Jun 06 $204 +$2 +1%
LoL: FURIA Esports vs LOS - Game 4 Winner Jun 06 $624 +$642 +103%
LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner Jun 06 $203 −$176 -87%
Dota 2: Aurora vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 06 $521 +$424 +81%
LoL: FURIA Esports vs LOS - Game 3 Winner Jun 06 $204 +$96 +47%
LoL: FURIA Esports vs LOS - Game 2 Winner Jun 06 $40 +$68 +170%
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp - Game 3 Winner Jun 06 $117 −$117 -100%
Dota 2: Aurora vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 06 $181 +$77 +43%
LoL: FURIA Esports vs LOS - Game 1 Winner Jun 06 $200 +$100 +50%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 06 $185 +$137 +74%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 85% +$2,782
world 6% −$247
other 3% −$308
politics 3% −$50
finance 2% −$50
economics 1% −$171
tech 0% −$2
culture 0% −$1
crypto 0% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Maxim De Cuyper be in Belgium's Starting 11? BUY Yes 77¢ $8 6m
Will Weverton be in Brazil's Starting 11? BUY Yes $1 7m
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner BUY KT Rolster 23¢ $71 1h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner BUY Gen.G 80¢ $466 2h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner SELL KT Rolster 46¢ $339 3h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner SELL KT Rolster 80¢ $276 3h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner SELL KT Rolster 80¢ $27 3h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner SELL KT Rolster 80¢ $157 3h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner BUY KT Rolster 33¢ $437 3h
Will Morocco go unbeaten in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage? SELL No 87¢ $17 15h
Will Morocco go unbeaten in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage? BUY No 95¢ $19 17h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner BUY T1 15¢ $46 22h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner BUY T1 47¢ $119 22h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner BUY T1 47¢ $22 22h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 61¢ $6 23h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 61¢ $187 23h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 61¢ $176 23h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner SELL T1 38¢ $186 23h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner BUY T1 44¢ $45 23h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner BUY T1 47¢ $48 23h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner BUY T1 47¢ $143 23h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 27¢ $83 24h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 52¢ $301 25h
Will Ferran Torres be in Spain's Starting 11? SELL Yes 88¢ $18 27h
Will Ferran Torres be in Spain's Starting 11? BUY Yes 96¢ $19 27h
Will Diogo Dalot be in Portugal's Starting 11? SELL Yes 15¢ $3 28h
Will Juan Portilla be in Colombia's Starting 11? SELL Yes $4 33h
Will Gustavo Puerta be in Colombia's Starting 11? SELL No 54¢ $3 33h
Will Juan Portilla be in Colombia's Starting 11? BUY Yes $2 33h
Will Juan Portilla be in Colombia's Starting 11? BUY Yes 14¢ $3 33h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +39%
net ROI/market (all)-4.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 62 +6.3% -3.8% 53% 52% +4.6%
≤30d 341 +3.2% -6.6% 52% 49% -9.6%
≤90d 637 +5.2% -4.8% 47% 39% -8.2%
all 637 +5.2% -4.8% 47% 39% -8.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover50.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -4.8% 39% -8.2%
10% ← realistic here -13.9% 37% -17.0%
15% -22.2% 31% -25.0%
20% -29.9% 25% -32.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $591.07 · official $591.07 (match) · 3500 history records