Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T16:09:43+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
77 0x7760…7f0b crypto 1701 markets active 5d ago coverage 71d ⚠
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 71d only
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover
Total PnL −$11 (-0%) realized −$11 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -24% what you keep after slip
Net edge-24%after slip
Net WR2%break-even
Win rate97%1643W / 58L
Whale WR97%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$105per market
Trades / day25.8pace
Kalshi-fit67%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days+$154
14 days−$68
30 days+$258
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 83% +$520
other 17% −$488
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +2%
net ROI/market (all)-10.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 99 +1.4% -8.2% 99% 2% -8.2%
≤30d 857 +0.1% -9.5% 98% 2% -9.4%
≤90d 1701 -0.9% -10.4% 97% 2% -9.5%
all 1701 -0.9% -10.4% 97% 2% -9.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover25.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.4% 2% -9.5%
10% ← realistic here -19.0% 1% -18.2%
15% -26.8% 1% -26.1%
20% -34.0% 0% -33.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 3% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
98% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -1% · $-wt +0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 97% (≥$500) strong on big bets
Persistence
early -2% → late +0% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$2 vs −$52 · ×0.04 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.01 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

71d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$11
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)97%
Wins / losses1643 / 58
Whale WR (big bets)97%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1701 / 1701
History coverage71d ⚠
Avg bet$105
Trades / day25.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit67%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1701 Trades
no open positions (1 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $40 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $100 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $101 −$100 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $100 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 12 $100 +$2 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $100 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $100 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $100 +$5 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 12 $200 +$5 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $100 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $100 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $100 +$3 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $100 +$3 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $101 +$13 +13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $100 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $100 +$2 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $100 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $100 +$4 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $100 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $100 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $100 +$2 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $100 +$2 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $100 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $100 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $100 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $100 +$5 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $70 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $100 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $100 +$2 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 12 $100 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 12 $100 +$2 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 12 $100 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 12 $100 +$5 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 12 $100 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 12 $201 +$8 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 12 $100 +$5 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 12 $100 +$5 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 12 $100 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 12 $100 +$2 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 12 $100 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 12 $100 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 12 $100 +$3 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 12 $100 +$4 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 12 $100 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 12 $100 +$1 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $40 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $100 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $101 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $100 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $100 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $100 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $100 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $100 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $100 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $100 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $100 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $100 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $100 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $100 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $100 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $101 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $100 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $100 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $100 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $100 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $100 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $100 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $100 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $100 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $100 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $100 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $100 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $100 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $100 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $100 5d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records