Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T04:45:10+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

77
0x775c…5241
other · 151 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$75 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$74 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$47
Realized−$74
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)13%
Wins / losses19 / 131
Whale WR (big bets)20%
Est. fees paid−$5
Open positions1
Markets (closed)150 / 151
History coverage95d
Avg bet$158
Trades / day6.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit74%
Chart Positions 1 History 150 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1
7 days−$7
14 days−$26
30 days−$44
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No 97¢ 97¢ $47 $47 −$0 (-0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026? Jun 13 $42 $0 +0%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T? Jun 12 $63 +$4 +7%
Will Bitcoin dip to $10,000 by December 31, 2026? Jun 12 $122 $0 -0%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June? Jun 12 $49 −$1 -3%
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 11 $203 −$1 -0%
Will Switzerland reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? Jun 11 $60 $0 -1%
Will a player representing Germany be the top goalscorer at the 2026 F Jun 11 $48 −$1 -1%
Will Portugal score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 11 $38 −$2 -4%
Will Bart Verbruggen record the most clean sheets at the 2026 FIFA Wor Jun 10 $24 $0 +1%
Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the 2026 World Series? Jun 10 $244 −$1 -0%
Will McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? Jun 10 $47 $0 +0%
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? Jun 09 $55 $0 -0%
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 09 $62 $0 -0%
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Jun 09 $656 −$3 -0%
Will Natus Vincere win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Jun 06 $58 $0 -1%
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026? Jun 06 $40 −$1 -2%
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nom Jun 06 $143 −$1 -1%
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 3 Jun 06 $119 −$1 -1%
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Jun 05 $140 $0 -0%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? Jun 05 $117 −$2 -2%
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Jun 04 $61 −$1 -2%
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Jun 04 $56 $0 -0%
Will Norway reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? Jun 04 $49 −$1 -1%
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? Jun 03 $354 −$3 -1%
Will Ed Miliband be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2 Jun 03 $49 $0 -1%
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Jun 03 $515 −$2 -0%
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Jun 02 $200 $0 -0%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? Jun 02 $47 $0 -1%
Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026? Jun 02 $50 $0 -0%
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 02 $422 −$1 -0%
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Jun 01 $297 −$1 -0%
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 01 $341 −$1 -0%
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? May 31 $228 −$2 -1%
Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship? May 31 $87 −$1 -2%
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? May 31 $379 −$1 -0%
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? May 31 $263 $0 -0%
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship? May 31 $49 −$1 -1%
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? May 30 $88 $0 -0%
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? May 30 $159 $0 -0%
Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election? May 29 $219 −$1 -0%
Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship? May 29 $41 $0 -0%
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? May 29 $115 −$2 -1%
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? May 28 $292 $0 -0%
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? May 28 $154 $0 -0%
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? May 28 $282 $0 -0%
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship? May 27 $47 $0 -0%
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 27 $42 $0 -1%
Will the San Diego Padres win the 2026 World Series? May 26 $63 $0 -0%
Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals? May 26 $59 −$1 -2%
Will FURIA win IEM Cologne Major 2026? May 25 $47 $0 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
politics 29% −$24
other 26% −$24
sports 18% −$14
crypto 9% −$4
world 5% −$6
culture 4% −$3
economics 4% −$2
finance 4% +$1
tech 2% +$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? BUY No 97¢ $47 38m
Will The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026? SELL No 93¢ $42 1h
Will The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026? BUY No 92¢ $42 9h
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T? SELL Yes 99¢ $67 9h
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T? BUY Yes 92¢ $63 13h
Will Bitcoin dip to $10,000 by December 31, 2026? SELL No 95¢ $59 14h
Will Bitcoin dip to $10,000 by December 31, 2026? BUY No 95¢ $59 21h
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June? SELL No 93¢ $48 22h
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June? BUY No 95¢ $49 29h
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 91¢ $49 29h
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 91¢ $49 37h
Will Switzerland reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? SELL No 97¢ $59 38h
Will Switzerland reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? BUY No 97¢ $60 42h
Will a player representing Germany be the top goalscorer at the 2026 F SELL No 93¢ $47 42h
Will a player representing Germany be the top goalscorer at the 2026 F BUY No 94¢ $48 46h
Will Portugal score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 91¢ $37 47h
Will Portugal score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 95¢ $38 2d
Will Bart Verbruggen record the most clean sheets at the 2026 FIFA Wor SELL No 98¢ $24 2d
Will Bart Verbruggen record the most clean sheets at the 2026 FIFA Wor BUY No 97¢ $24 2d
Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the 2026 World Series? SELL No 96¢ $56 2d
Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the 2026 World Series? BUY No 96¢ $56 2d
Will McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? SELL No 97¢ $47 2d
Will McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? BUY No 97¢ $47 3d
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? SELL No 95¢ $55 3d
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? BUY No 95¢ $55 3d
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? SELL No 98¢ $61 3d
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? BUY No 98¢ $62 3d
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? SELL No 94¢ $61 3d
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? BUY No 93¢ $61 5d
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 91¢ $46 5d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 17 -0.4% -9.9% 24% 0% -9.8%
≤30d 74 -0.5% -10.0% 9% 0% -9.9%
≤90d 147 -0.5% -9.9% 12% 0% -9.8%
all 150 -0.5% -9.9% 13% 0% -9.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover6.4 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.9% 0% -9.8%
10% -18.6% 0% -18.4%
15% -26.4% 0% -26.3%
20% -33.6% 0% -33.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $47.06 · official $47.06 (match) · 663 history records