Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T04:46:45+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

77
0x7759…e577
sports · 9 markets active 2h ago
2.5score
+$8 +12%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$9 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✓ COPY-WORTHY ⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Net worth$29
Realized+$9
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)67%
Wins / losses4 / 2
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions3
Markets (closed)6 / 9
History coverage1d
Avg bet$8
Trades / day12.0
Drawdown53%
Kalshi-fit56%
Chart Positions 3 History 6 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$9
7 days+$9
14 days+$9
30 days+$9
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 7.5 Total Corners Over 67¢ 68¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+2%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 7.5 Total Corners Over 74¢ 70¢ $10 $9 −$1 (-5%)
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 7.5 Total Corners Over 70¢ 66¢ $10 $9 −$1 (-6%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 7.5 Total Corners Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $5 +$5 +104%
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? Jun 12 $2 $0 -10%
Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be betwe Jun 12 $6 +$1 +24%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $5 +$8 +165%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $10 +$4 +43%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 60% −$11
other 32% +$18
finance 8% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
worth copying (survives realistic slippage)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +67%
net ROI/market (all)+24.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 6 +37.6% +24.5% 67% 67% +12.0%
≤30d 6 +37.6% +24.5% 67% 67% +12.0%
≤90d 6 +37.6% +24.5% 67% 67% +12.0%
all 6 +37.6% +24.5% 67% 67% +12.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover12.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to15%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +24.5% 67% +12.0%
10% +12.6% 67% +1.3%
15% +1.7% 50% -8.5%
20% -8.2% 33% -17.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $29.10 · official $29.10 (match) · 16 history records