Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T14:12:34+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

77
0x774d…8461
crypto · 126 markets active 0h ago
4.5score
+$12 +5%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$8 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$8
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)78%
Wins / losses98 / 28
Open positions0
Markets (closed)126 / 126
History coverage18d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day6.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit87%
Chart Positions 0 History 126 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$12
7 days+$11
14 days+$11
30 days+$8
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Up 75¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Up 85¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Down 79¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Up 87¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Down 70¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Down 67¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 29, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 29, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Down 97¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 11, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Up 83¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 30, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Up 94¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 11, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Down 86¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Up 71¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Down 86¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$2 +81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +24%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +39%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$2 +112%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$2 +91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +25%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +21%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +58%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +24%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +33%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 -0%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 11, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +9%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 11, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 11, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +3%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 11, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 11, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +24%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 11, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +22%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 11, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 11, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 86% +$16
other 14% −$8
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $2 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $2 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $2 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $2 5h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $2 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +44%
net ROI/market (all)-6.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 52 +10.3% -0.2% 83% 50% +0.0%
≤30d 126 +3.4% -6.5% 78% 44% -6.8%
≤90d 126 +3.4% -6.5% 78% 44% -6.8%
all 126 +3.4% -6.5% 78% 44% -6.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover6.9 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -6.5% 44% -6.8%
10% -15.4% 35% -15.7%
15% -23.6% 20% -23.8%
20% -31.1% 10% -31.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 234 history records