Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T09:55:40+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

77
0x771c…d77c
crypto · 128 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$21 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$28 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$28
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)64%
Wins / losses82 / 46
Open positions0
Markets (closed)128 / 128
History coverage99d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day2.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 128 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$14
7 days−$21
14 days−$21
30 days−$21
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Down 68¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Down 12¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Down 92¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Down 10¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Up 9¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Up 5¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Down 77¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$3 +59%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +10%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +17%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +19%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +20%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$4 -77%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +20%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$4 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $7 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$3 +105%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $13 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$1 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$1 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -96%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$28
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET SELL Up 87¢ $8 16m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $5 19m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $5 27m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET SELL Up 54¢ $6 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET SELL Down 83¢ $6 10h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $5 10h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $5 10h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET SELL Down 12¢ $1 10h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $5 10h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $3 10h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET SELL Up 57¢ $4 10h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $3 10h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $3 10h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET SELL Down 97¢ $3 10h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $3 11h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET SELL Up 57¢ $4 11h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $3 11h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $3 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET SELL Up 76¢ $4 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $3 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET SELL Up 24¢ $4 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 18¢ $3 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET SELL Down 94¢ $3 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $3 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET SELL Up 22¢ $4 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 17¢ $3 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $2 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 4¢ $1 17h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +35%
net ROI/market (all)-15.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 73 -10.9% -19.3% 60% 30% -17.2%
≤30d 73 -10.9% -19.3% 60% 30% -17.2%
≤90d 73 -10.9% -19.3% 60% 30% -17.2%
all 128 -6.8% -15.7% 64% 35% -15.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.4 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -15.7% 35% -15.8%
10% -23.7% 24% -23.8%
15% -31.1% 16% -31.2%
20% -37.9% 10% -37.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 316 history records