Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T09:17:00+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
77 0x7715…026b crypto 1398 markets active 3d ago coverage 28d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 27d only
✗ bot/MM pace (76 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL −$897 (-8%) realized −$897 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -23% what you keep after slip
Net edge-23%after slip
Net WR69%break-even
Win rate70%971W / 426L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$8per market
Trades / day76.0pace
Fees−$6est.
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days−$106
14 days−$147
30 days−$400
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 91% −$351
sports 9% +$36
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (76 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +69%
net ROI/market (all)-9.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 198 -7.5% -16.3% 65% 65% -17.7%
≤30d 1309 -0.9% -10.3% 69% 69% -13.1%
≤90d 1397 -0.4% -9.9% 70% 69% -12.1%
all 1397 -0.4% -9.9% 70% 69% -12.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover76.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.9% 69% -12.1%
10% ← realistic here -18.5% 66% -20.5%
15% -26.4% 42% -28.2%
20% -33.6% 14% -35.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 4% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -3% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
1% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -0% · $-wt -3% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +2% → late -3% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.5 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$3 vs −$7 · ×0.39 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.9 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

28d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$897
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)70%
Wins / losses971 / 426
Est. fees paid−$6
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1397 / 1398
History coverage28d ⚠
Avg bet$8
Trades / day76.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1397 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $15 +$6 +40%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$4 +40%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +32%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +43%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$3 +29%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +33%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$3 +29%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $15 +$6 +42%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$3 +27%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +25%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +29%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +33%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$2 +32%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$2 +31%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$2 +38%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +23%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$2 +35%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 11 $7 +$2 +30%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 11 $10 +$4 +37%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 11 $10 +$3 +28%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 11 $9 −$9 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$2 +39%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$2 +33%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +27%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$2 +35%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$2 +49%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$2 +41%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +28%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$3 +61%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 11 $4 +$1 +31%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 11 $4 +$1 +31%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$2 +43%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$3 +55%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 11 $14 +$6 +44%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$2 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +28%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $0 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $5 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $5 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $5 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $5 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $5 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 73¢ $5 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $5 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $4 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $1 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $5 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $5 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $5 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $5 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $5 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $5 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $5 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $5 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $5 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 73¢ $5 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $5 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $0 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $2 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $2 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $5 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $4 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $1 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $2 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $3 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $5 4d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records