Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T17:22:35+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

77
0x770f…e1a4
crypto · 440 markets active 0h ago
1.0score
+$24 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$24 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1
Realized+$24
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)51%
Wins / losses225 / 214
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions1
Markets (closed)439 / 440
History coverage100d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day9.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 439 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$27
7 days+$28
14 days+$28
30 days+$22
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming - Map 1 Winner G2 Esports 49¢ 64¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+30%)
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner EDward Gaming 11¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play Jun 13 $10 +$18 +178%
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $4 +$12 +303%
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $4 −$4 -98%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Valorant: Global Esports vs XLG Gaming - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Valorant: Global Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Grou Jun 11 $3 +$14 +442%
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG - Map 1 Winner Jun 10 $1 $0 -12%
Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs XLG Gaming - Map 2 Winner Jun 10 $7 −$7 -100%
Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters Londo Jun 10 $5 −$2 -45%
Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs XLG Gaming - Map 1 Winner Jun 09 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 09 $2 +$5 +236%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET May 17 $6 −$6 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on May 1? May 01 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on May 1? May 01 $1 $0 -29%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on April 30? Apr 30 $1 +$2 +220%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on April 25? Apr 30 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on April 26? Apr 30 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on April 21? Apr 21 $1 −$1 -70%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on April 20? Apr 20 $2 +$4 +217%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on April 19? Apr 20 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on April 19? Apr 20 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on April 18? Apr 19 $4 −$4 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on April 18? Apr 18 $4 −$2 -58%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on April 18? Apr 18 $1 −$1 -90%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on April 17? Apr 17 $2 −$2 -90%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on April 17? Apr 17 $2 −$2 -79%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on April 15? Apr 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on April 16? Apr 16 $2 +$4 +178%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on April 15? Apr 15 $2 +$5 +269%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on April 14? Apr 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on April 13? Apr 13 $1 +$1 +118%
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on April 12? Apr 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on April 13? Apr 13 $1 $0 -43%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on April 12? Apr 12 $1 $0 -31%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on April 12? Apr 12 $1 $0 -22%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on April 3? Apr 04 $6 −$6 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on April 2? Apr 03 $3 −$3 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on April 2? Apr 03 $5 −$5 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on April 1? Apr 01 $3 −$3 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on April 1? Apr 01 $2 $0 +6%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on March 30? Mar 30 $2 +$5 +261%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on March 30? Mar 30 $2 $0 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on March 30? Mar 30 $3 −$1 -23%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on March 29? Mar 29 $6 −$1 -11%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on March 29? Mar 29 $3 +$4 +149%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on March 29? Mar 29 $2 −$1 -33%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on March 28? Mar 28 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on March 28? Mar 28 $2 +$4 +202%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on March 27? Mar 27 $1 +$6 +450%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 85% +$7
weather 11% −$9
sports 4% +$24
culture 1% +$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming - Map 1 Winner BUY G2 Esports 49¢ $1 11m
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play SELL EDward Gaming 99¢ $4 50m
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play BUY EDward Gaming 46¢ $2 1h
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play SELL EDward Gaming 45¢ $24 1h
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner SELL EDward Gaming 99¢ $16 1h
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play BUY EDward Gaming 13¢ $2 2h
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play BUY EDward Gaming 8¢ $2 2h
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner BUY EDward Gaming 18¢ $2 2h
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play BUY EDward Gaming 18¢ $1 2h
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner BUY EDward Gaming 36¢ $2 2h
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play BUY EDward Gaming 24¢ $1 2h
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner BUY EDward Gaming 5¢ $1 2h
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner BUY EDward Gaming 10¢ $1 2h
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner BUY EDward Gaming 20¢ $1 3h
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner BUY EDward Gaming 41¢ $1 3h
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play BUY EDward Gaming 47¢ $2 13h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 5¢ $1 2d
Valorant: Global Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Grou BUY XLG Gaming 18¢ $3 2d
Valorant: Global Esports vs XLG Gaming - Map 1 Winner BUY XLG Gaming 7¢ $1 2d
Valorant: Global Esports vs XLG Gaming - Map 1 Winner BUY XLG Gaming 17¢ $1 2d
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG - Map 2 Winner BUY NRG 33¢ $1 3d
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG - Map 2 Winner BUY NRG 53¢ $1 3d
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG - Map 1 Winner SELL FUT Esports 26¢ $1 3d
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG - Map 1 Winner BUY FUT Esports 14¢ $1 3d
Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters Londo BUY Dragon Ranger Gaming 1¢ $1 4d
Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters Londo BUY Dragon Ranger Gaming 6¢ $1 4d
Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters Londo SELL Dragon Ranger Gaming 3¢ $3 4d
Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters Londo BUY Dragon Ranger Gaming 1¢ $1 4d
Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters Londo BUY Dragon Ranger Gaming 33¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $7 4d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +41%
net ROI/market (all)-7.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 12 +42.0% +28.5% 33% 33% +48.0%
≤30d 13 +31.1% +18.6% 31% 31% +29.9%
≤90d 112 +0.8% -8.8% 40% 36% -10.1%
all 439 +2.7% -7.1% 51% 41% -7.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover9.9 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -7.1% 41% -7.8%
10% -16.0% 36% -16.6%
15% -24.1% 29% -24.7%
20% -31.5% 24% -32.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1.30 · official $1.30 (match) · 1221 history records