trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | +6.2% | -3.9% | 100% | 0% | -3.9% |
| ≤30d | 8 | +0.5% | -9.0% | 25% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤90d | 8 | +0.5% | -9.0% | 25% | 0% | -9.6% |
| all | 18 | -10.5% | -19.0% | 39% | 0% | -9.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -19.0% | 0% | -9.8% |
| 10% | -26.8% | 0% | -18.4% |
| 15% | -33.8% | 0% | -26.3% |
| 20% | -40.3% | 0% | -33.5% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026? | No | 90¢ | 90¢ | $41 | $41 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cuban regime falls in 2026? | Jun 17 | $3 | $0 | +6% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia | Jun 07 | $46 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? | Jun 06 | $88 | $0 | -0% |
| Iran leadership change by June 30? | Jun 05 | $46 | $0 | +0% |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? | Jun 05 | $33 | $0 | -1% |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | Jun 04 | $6 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Alberta join the US? | Jun 04 | $48 | $0 | +0% |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | Jun 02 | $46 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Walmart buy TikTok? | Dec 13 | $8 | $0 | +4% |
| Will the Dallas Cowboys win Super Bowl 2026? | Jun 12 | $2 | $0 | +2% |
| Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2025 NBA Finals? | May 29 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Casper Ruud win the 2025 French Open? | May 29 | $0 | $0 | -100% |
| Will Luis Antonio Tagle be the next pope? | Apr 19 | $8 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Borussia Dortmund win the UEFA Champions League? | Mar 24 | $10 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $93000 on Mar 14? | Mar 15 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Trae Young lead the NBA in Assists? | Mar 14 | $10 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Indiana Pacers win the Eastern Conference? | Mar 13 | $10 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the New Jersey Devils win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | Mar 12 | $12 | $0 | -0% |