Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T15:11:53+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
76 0x76f9…4566 crypto 1624 markets active 2h ago coverage 87d ⚠
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 87d only
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$67 (+0%) realized +$67 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -23% what you keep after slip
Net edge-23%after slip
Net WR1%break-even
Win rate89%1441W / 183L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$17per market
Trades / day22.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$35
7 days−$59
14 days−$24
30 days−$44
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$5
other 0% −$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +1%
net ROI/market (all)-9.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 232 +1.1% -8.6% 93% 0% -10.2%
≤30d 513 +0.5% -9.1% 92% 0% -9.8%
≤90d 1624 -0.2% -9.7% 89% 1% -9.4%
all 1624 -0.2% -9.7% 89% 1% -9.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover22.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.7% 1% -9.4%
10% ← realistic here -18.4% 0% -18.1%
15% -26.3% 0% -26.0%
20% -33.5% 0% -33.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 1% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
99% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -0% · $-wt +0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -1% → late +0% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$4 · ×0.13 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.0 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

87d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$67
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)89%
Wins / losses1441 / 183
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1624 / 1624
History coverage87d ⚠
Avg bet$17
Trades / day22.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1624 Trades
no open positions (9 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 17 $61 +$2 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 17 $60 +$2 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 17 $24 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 17 $60 +$2 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 17 $60 +$2 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 17 $24 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 17 $59 +$2 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 17 $59 +$2 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 17 $59 +$2 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 17 $58 +$2 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 17 $58 +$2 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 17 $58 +$2 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 17 $63 −$17 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 17 $63 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 17 $62 +$2 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 17 $25 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 17 $62 +$2 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 17 $62 +$2 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 17 $61 +$2 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 17 $61 +$2 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 17 $24 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 17 $61 +$2 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 17 $60 +$2 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 17 $20 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 17 $20 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 17 $20 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 17 $7 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 17 $20 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 16 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 16 $20 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 16 $20 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 16 $20 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 16 $59 +$2 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 16 $59 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 16 $59 +$2 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 16 $59 +$2 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 16 $58 +$2 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 16 $20 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 16 $58 +$2 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 16 $58 +$2 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 16 $57 +$2 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 16 $58 −$2 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 16 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 16 $57 +$2 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 16 $57 +$2 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 16 $57 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 16 $57 +$2 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 16 $23 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 16 $56 +$2 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 16 $56 +$2 +3%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $61 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $60 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $24 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $60 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $60 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $24 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $59 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $59 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $59 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $58 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $58 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $58 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET SELL Down 72¢ $46 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $63 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $63 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $62 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $25 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $62 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $62 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $61 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $61 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $24 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $61 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $60 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $20 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $20 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $20 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $7 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $20 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $20 15h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records