Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T17:27:16+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

76
0x76f1…f655
sports · 364 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$18,564 -29%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$17,446 · open −$1,118
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2,336
Realized−$17,446
Unrealized−$1,118
Win rate (resolved)24%
Wins / losses181 / 574
Whale WR (big bets)48%
Est. fees paid−$750
Open positions19
Markets (closed)755 / 364
History coverage6d
Avg bet$176
Trades / day524.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 19 History 755 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$20,126
7 days−$17,446
14 days−$17,446
30 days−$17,446
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BetBoom Team 33¢ 100¢ $180 $550 +$371 (+206%)
Ilkley: Keegan Smith vs Jacob Fearnley Jacob Fearnley 70¢ 100¢ $253 $362 +$109 (+43%)
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 Winner Paper Rex 70¢ 100¢ $169 $240 +$71 (+42%)
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group A Misa Esports 87¢ 100¢ $210 $240 +$30 (+14%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Natus Vincere 78¢ 100¢ $163 $208 +$45 (+28%)
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Vitality 87¢ 88¢ $144 $146 +$2 (+1%)
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz Taylor Fritz 53¢ 68¢ $108 $138 +$31 (+28%)
Tucuman: Carlos Maria Zarate vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi 82¢ 100¢ $84 $102 +$18 (+22%)
LoL: G2 NORD vs WLGaming Esports - Game 2 Winner WLGaming Esports 99¢ 100¢ $70 $71 +$0 (+1%)
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 1 Winner Anubis Gaming 45¢ 66¢ $36 $52 +$16 (+45%)
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: England vs Sri Lanka Sri Lanka 12¢ 12¢ $53 $51 −$2 (-4%)
Ilkley: Filippo Romano vs Jack Pinnington Jones Jack Pinnington Jones 63¢ 44¢ $44 $30 −$13 (-30%)
T20 Ireland Tri-Series, Women: Pakistan vs West Indies West Indies 63¢ 50¢ $32 $25 −$6 (-21%)
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 1 Winner Eintracht Spandau 45¢ 34¢ $30 $23 −$7 (-23%)
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs Leo Team (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stage Leo Team 38¢ 40¢ $21 $22 +$1 (+7%)
Cattolica: Francesco Forti vs Andrea Guerrieri Francesco Forti 48¢ 72¢ $12 $19 +$6 (+50%)
Ilkley: Filippo Romano vs Jack Pinnington Jones Filippo Romano 52¢ 56¢ $17 $18 +$1 (+7%)
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs GenOne - Map 2 Winner SPARTA 34¢ 100¢ $4 $11 +$7 (+194%)
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Map 1 Winner Team Vitality 79¢ 100¢ $8 $10 +$2 (+27%)
T20 ACC Premier Cup, Women: China vs Saudi Arabia Saudi Arabia 11¢ 50¢ $2 $8 +$6 (+346%)
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner 9z 13¢ 12¢ $6 $6 −$0 (-8%)
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz Mattia Bellucci 36¢ 32¢ $3 $2 −$0 (-12%)
Tucuman: Carlos Maria Zarate vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi Carlos Maria Zarate 33¢ 0¢ $29 $0 −$29 (-98%)
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 Winner Leviatán Esports 33¢ 0¢ $296 $0 −$295 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Team Falcons 64¢ 0¢ $503 $0 −$503 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
T20 Ireland Tri-Series, Women: Pakistan vs West Indies Jun 12 $32 −$6 -21%
Will FC Alverca win on 2026-04-12? Jun 12 $26 −$26 -100%
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs ex-Zero Tenacity - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $80 −$80 -100%
Counter-Strike: Just Players vs OG (BO3) - Thunderpick World Champions Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Roland Garros WTA: Linda Fruhvirtova vs Elsa Jacquemot Jun 12 $16 −$16 -100%
Roland Garros ATP: Kyrian Jacquet vs Marco Trungelliti Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Norwich City FC win on 2026-04-03? Jun 12 $75 −$75 -100%
Spread: Grêmio FBPA (-2.5) Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
KBO: Kia Tigers vs. Samsung Lions Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Cincinnati Reds vs. Cleveland Guardians Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Valorant: Team Liquid Academy vs Ghools Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Will Rafael Estevam win by KO or TKO? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Predators vs. Sharks Jun 12 $1,304 −$1,259 -97%
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $80 −$80 -100%
Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs ASTRAL - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $37 −$37 -100%
RCD Mallorca vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $59 −$59 -100%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Will FC Tōkyō win on 2026-04-05? Jun 12 $22 −$18 -81%
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Flames vs. Stars: O/U 7.5 Jun 12 $18 −$18 -100%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $14 $0 +0%
LoL: Gen.G vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
LoL: Barça eSports vs ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Gil Vicente FC win on 2026-04-13? Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-04-18? Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Shanghai Sharks vs. Zhejiang Lions Jun 12 $63 −$63 -100%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs The Huns Esports (BO3) - PGL Astana Group St Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Stade Brestois 29 vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Counter-Strike: RED Canids Academy vs paiN Academy - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Will Shimizu S-Pulse win on 2026-05-10? Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Monza: Dino Prizmic vs Valentin Royer Jun 12 $33 −$33 -100%
LoL: Cloud9 vs Sentinels - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $28 +$81 +289%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Seattle Mariners Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Ibaraki Robots vs. SAN-EN NeoPhoenix Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $107 −$107 -100%
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-04-09? Jun 12 $302 −$302 -100%
Counter-Strike: Lavked vs ASTRAL - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $34 −$34 -100%
Will Al Kholood Saudi Club win on 2026-04-03? Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Bordeaux: Raphael Collignon vs Alexander Shevchenko Jun 12 $24 −$24 -100%
Geneva Open: Taylor Fritz vs Alexei Popyrin Jun 12 $87 −$87 -100%
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs ALGO Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $76 −$76 -100%
Inter Miami CF vs. New England Revolution: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Will Santos FC win on 2026-04-11? Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $17 −$17 -100%
LoL: Crusaders vs Bubliki - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Gimcheon Sangmu FC win on 2026-05-17? Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% +$69
other 0% +$24
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ilkley: Filippo Romano vs Jack Pinnington Jones BUY Jack Pinnington Jones 44¢ $8 3m
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs Leo Team (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group St BUY Leo Team 38¢ $21 8m
Ilkley: Filippo Romano vs Jack Pinnington Jones BUY Filippo Romano 63¢ $13 8m
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 1 Winner BUY Anubis Gaming 40¢ $20 9m
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner BUY Vitality 88¢ $86 10m
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz BUY Mattia Bellucci 36¢ $3 10m
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz BUY Taylor Fritz 68¢ $5 11m
Ilkley: Filippo Romano vs Jack Pinnington Jones BUY Jack Pinnington Jones 56¢ $12 11m
Tucuman: Carlos Maria Zarate vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi BUY Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi 89¢ $27 11m
Tucuman: Carlos Maria Zarate vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi BUY Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi 88¢ $6 11m
Tucuman: Carlos Maria Zarate vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi BUY Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi 64¢ $5 13m
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz BUY Taylor Fritz 67¢ $20 14m
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner BUY 9z 13¢ $6 14m
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner BUY Vitality 88¢ $10 17m
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: England vs Sri Lanka BUY Sri Lanka 12¢ $6 18m
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 1 Winner BUY Anubis Gaming 53¢ $17 18m
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: England vs Sri Lanka BUY Sri Lanka 12¢ $6 18m
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: England vs Sri Lanka BUY Sri Lanka 12¢ $6 19m
Ilkley: Filippo Romano vs Jack Pinnington Jones BUY Filippo Romano 35¢ $4 19m
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 1 Winner BUY Eintracht Spandau 45¢ $31 21m
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz BUY Taylor Fritz 54¢ $16 22m
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz BUY Taylor Fritz 46¢ $16 22m
LoL: G2 NORD vs WLGaming Esports - Game 2 Winner BUY WLGaming Esports 99¢ $70 26m
LoL: G2 NORD vs WLGaming Esports - Game 2 Winner BUY G2 NORD 80¢ $56 29m
Tucuman: Carlos Maria Zarate vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi BUY Carlos Maria Zarate 39¢ $12 34m
Tucuman: Carlos Maria Zarate vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi BUY Carlos Maria Zarate 39¢ $12 34m
Tucuman: Carlos Maria Zarate vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi BUY Carlos Maria Zarate 20¢ $6 36m
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner BUY Vitality 85¢ $50 37m
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz BUY Taylor Fritz 36¢ $11 39m
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz BUY Taylor Fritz 41¢ $13 40m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +20%
net ROI/market (all)-57.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 755 -53.3% -57.8% 24% 20% -29.2%
≤30d 755 -53.3% -57.8% 24% 20% -29.2%
≤90d 755 -53.3% -57.8% 24% 20% -29.2%
all 755 -53.3% -57.8% 24% 20% -29.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover524.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -57.8% 20% -29.2%
10% ← realistic here -61.8% 15% -36.0%
15% -65.5% 10% -42.2%
20% -68.9% 7% -47.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2,336.07 · official $2,333.09 (match) · 3500 history records