Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T09:59:17+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

76
0x76e9…b7db
sports · 361 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$1,073 -12%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,048 · open −$25
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$46
Realized−$1,048
Unrealized−$25
Win rate (resolved)37%
Wins / losses133 / 226
Est. fees paid−$125
Open positions1
Markets (closed)359 / 361
History coverage54d
Avg bet$25
Trades / day19.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit88%
Chart Positions 1 History 359 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$78
7 days−$133
14 days−$202
30 days−$243
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Natus Vincere 70¢ 46¢ $71 $46 −$25 (-35%)
Foggia: Leyre Romero Gormaz vs Tyra Caterina Grant Tyra Caterina Grant 56¢ 0¢ $41 $0 −$41 (-100%)
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Yannick Hanfmann Yannick Hanfmann 55¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17? No 38¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Geneva Open: Raphael Collignon vs Casper Ruud Raphael Collignon 43¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Hamburg European Open, Qualification: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Zhizhen Zhang Zhizhen Zhang 21¢ 0¢ $102 $0 −$102 (-100%)
Will CS Independiente Rivadavia win on 2026-05-21? No 48¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Hamburg European Open: Ugo Humbert vs Karen Khachanov Karen Khachanov 48¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Geneva Open: Alexei Popyrin vs Clement Tabur Clement Tabur 38¢ 0¢ $28 $0 −$28 (-100%)
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-05-10? Yes 24¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Hamburg European Open: Luciano Darderi vs Yannick Hanfmann Yannick Hanfmann 35¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Cervia: Stefan Dostanic vs Francesco Forti Francesco Forti 45¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Luca Van Assche vs Brandon Nakashima Luca Van Assche 18¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Luciano Darderi vs Alexander Zverev Alexander Zverev 46¢ 0¢ $51 $0 −$51 (-100%)
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Shuai Zhang vs Diane Parry Diane Parry 43¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Will FC Nantes win on 2026-05-08? Yes 16¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Hamburg European Open: Tommy Paul vs Tomas Etcheverry Tomas Etcheverry 57¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Cervia: Andrea Guerrieri vs Oleg Prihodko Oleg Prihodko 9¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Jaime Faria vs Grigor Dimitrov Grigor Dimitrov 53¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Bengaluru 3: Keegan Smith vs Manish Sureshkumar Keegan Smith 74¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Matej Dodig vs Yi Zhou Yi Zhou 24¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Chicago White Sox vs. Seattle Mariners Chicago White Sox 9¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Thomas Faurel vs Valentin Vacherot Thomas Faurel 15¢ 0¢ $23 $0 −$23 (-100%)
Istanbul: Benjamin Hassan vs Filip Jianu Filip Jianu 45¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Sunrisers Hyderabad Chennai Super Kings 42¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $61 +$11 +17%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 13 $55 +$6 +10%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $22 −$22 -99%
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $17 −$17 -98%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $10 +$8 +74%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $57 −$47 -82%
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $133 −$8 -6%
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak Jun 12 $8 −$8 -98%
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron Jun 12 $4 −$4 -98%
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik Jun 12 $7 −$3 -46%
Libema Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Adrian Mannarino Jun 12 $4 +$3 +70%
Modena: Lucia Bronzetti vs Julia Grabher Jun 11 $5 $0 -0%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $16 +$5 +33%
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 11 $5 −$1 -14%
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 11 $5 $0 -9%
Stuttgart Open: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Alexander Bublik Jun 10 $10 −$10 -98%
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Yannick Hanfmann Jun 10 $7 −$7 -99%
Stuttgart Open: Nick Kyrgios vs Corentin Moutet Jun 09 $9 +$18 +197%
Stuttgart Open: Roberto Bautista Agut vs Marcos Giron Jun 09 $10 −$10 -98%
Libema Open: Jaume Munar vs Martin Damm Jun 09 $10 −$1 -5%
Foggia: Leyre Romero Gormaz vs Tyra Caterina Grant Jun 07 $41 −$41 -99%
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev Jun 07 $32 +$9 +27%
Tyler: Karl Poling vs Andre Ilagan Jun 06 $22 +$11 +48%
Perugia: Timofey Skatov vs Henrique Rocha Jun 06 $14 +$7 +52%
Stuttgart Open, Qualification: Roman Safiullin vs Petr Bar Biryukov Jun 06 $7 +$7 +103%
Birmingham: Nikola Bartunkova vs Ashlyn Krueger Jun 06 $7 $0 -5%
Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Mirra Andreeva Jun 06 $40 −$39 -98%
Roland Garros WTA: Anna Kalinskaya vs Maja Chwalinska Jun 03 $7 −$7 -99%
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca Jun 02 $69 −$68 -99%
Prostejov: Roberto Bautista Agut vs Hynek Barton Jun 02 $5 −$5 -98%
Makarska: Leolia Jeanjean vs Kajsa Rinaldo Persson Jun 02 $8 +$6 +70%
Birmingham: Yunchaokete Bu vs Lloyd Harris Jun 02 $10 +$8 +82%
Roland Garros WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Marta Kostyuk Jun 02 $33 −$32 -98%
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Busta May 31 $30 +$62 +211%
Roland Garros WTA: Sorana Cirstea vs Xiyu Wang May 31 $3 −$3 -98%
Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Iga Swiatek May 31 $6 +$17 +272%
Roland Garros ATP: Moise Kouame vs Alejandro Tabilo May 30 $48 −$47 -98%
Roland Garros ATP: Quentin Halys vs Alexander Zverev May 29 $28 −$27 -97%
Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 1 - 0 Arsenal FC? May 29 $15 −$15 -97%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? May 29 $30 −$2 -6%
Roland Garros WTA: Peyton Stearns vs Belinda Bencic May 29 $17 −$17 -98%
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic May 29 $50 +$27 +55%
Roland Garros ATP: Luca Van Assche vs Brandon Nakashima May 28 $20 −$20 -98%
Roland Garros ATP: Arthur Rinderknech vs Matteo Berrettini May 28 $61 −$50 -81%
Roland Garros ATP: Adolfo Vallejo vs Moise Kouame May 28 $56 +$148 +262%
Roland Garros ATP: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Andrey Rublev May 27 $8 −$8 -98%
Roland Garros ATP: Thomas Faurel vs Valentin Vacherot May 26 $23 −$23 -98%
Roland Garros WTA: Iva Jovic vs Alexandra Eala May 26 $16 +$6 +40%
Roland Garros ATP: Hugo Gaston vs Gael Monfils May 25 $8 +$9 +112%
Roland Garros ATP: Ignacio Buse vs Andrey Rublev May 25 $23 −$23 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 77% −$346
other 17% −$642
crypto 6% −$76
world 0% $0
weather 0% −$5
politics 0% −$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Natus Vincere 70¢ $71 43m
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner SELL Gen.G 100¢ $63 47m
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner SELL Gen.G 93¢ $8 49m
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner BUY Gen.G 84¢ $61 1h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL Gen.G 96¢ $61 1h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Gen.G 87¢ $55 3h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 63¢ $22 11h
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 27¢ $17 13h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 SELL Over 99¢ $18 13h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 56¢ $10 13h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 10¢ $10 13h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $57 18h
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 16¢ $57 18h
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 16¢ $60 18h
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak BUY Felix Auger-Aliassime 17¢ $8 18h
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 16¢ $68 18h
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron BUY Marcos Giron 45¢ $4 19h
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik SELL Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard 22¢ $4 19h
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik BUY Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard 39¢ $7 19h
Libema Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Adrian Mannarino SELL Adrian Mannarino 100¢ $7 22h
Libema Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Adrian Mannarino BUY Adrian Mannarino 58¢ $4 36h
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 16¢ $1 37h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? AND Will United States win on 2 BUY 16¢ $5 37h
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 16¢ $10 37h
Modena: Lucia Bronzetti vs Julia Grabher SELL Lucia Bronzetti 74¢ $0 37h
Modena: Lucia Bronzetti vs Julia Grabher SELL Lucia Bronzetti 55¢ $5 37h
Modena: Lucia Bronzetti vs Julia Grabher BUY Lucia Bronzetti 54¢ $5 37h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 94¢ $21 37h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 70¢ $16 43h
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 1¢ $4 43h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)-28.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 27 -16.1% -24.1% 37% 33% -29.0%
≤30d 212 -16.7% -24.6% 36% 32% -13.0%
≤90d 359 -20.6% -28.1% 37% 33% -20.1%
all 359 -20.6% -28.1% 37% 33% -20.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover19.8 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -28.1% 33% -20.1%
10% -35.0% 29% -27.8%
15% -41.3% 25% -34.7%
20% -47.0% 21% -41.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $46.01 · official $51.01 · 1143 history records