Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T01:49:43+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

76
0x76e5…1576
crypto · 210 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$207 -10%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$208 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$5
Realized−$208
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)41%
Wins / losses86 / 123
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions1
Markets (closed)209 / 210
History coverage7d
Avg bet$10
Trades / day78.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 1 History 209 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$170
7 days−$208
14 days−$208
30 days−$208
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Down 41¢ 42¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+4%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Up 7¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3PM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6PM ET Up 14¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Down 13¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Down 15¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 6, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $23 −$16 -68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $38 +$10 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $20 −$9 -45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $16 −$2 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $22 −$3 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $25 +$23 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$5 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $33 +$57 +170%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $13 −$13 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $45 −$2 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$11 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $16 −$1 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$14 +145%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$13 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$6 +71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$20 +374%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8PM ET Jun 12 $21 −$20 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$5 -53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 11 $46 −$39 -85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 11 $33 −$10 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 11 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 11 $24 −$13 -54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 11 $14 −$13 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 11 $16 +$11 +72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 11 $27 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 11 $24 +$12 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 11 $18 −$14 -79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 11 $27 +$14 +53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 11 $17 +$39 +233%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 11 $23 +$35 +154%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 11 $11 +$10 +91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 11 $10 +$10 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -94%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 97% −$184
other 1% −$10
sports 1% −$5
world 0% −$8
politics 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $5 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 16¢ $7 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $10 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET SELL Up 65¢ $7 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $5 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET SELL Up 37¢ $16 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 22¢ $5 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $9 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET SELL Up 43¢ $6 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 32¢ $5 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET SELL Up 41¢ $18 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 23¢ $5 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $2 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 27¢ $5 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET SELL Down 59¢ $7 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $5 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $4 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $5 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET SELL Up 68¢ $14 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $10 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $5 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET SELL Up 62¢ $9 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 35¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET SELL Down 58¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 27¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 13¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET SELL Up 53¢ $8 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +35%
net ROI/market (all)-30.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 209 -23.2% -30.5% 41% 35% -19.7%
≤30d 209 -23.2% -30.5% 41% 35% -19.7%
≤90d 209 -23.2% -30.5% 41% 35% -19.7%
all 209 -23.2% -30.5% 41% 35% -19.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover78.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -30.5% 35% -19.7%
10% ← realistic here -37.2% 29% -27.4%
15% -43.2% 22% -34.4%
20% -48.8% 18% -40.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $5.18 · official $5.18 (match) · 648 history records