trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| ≤30d | 2 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| ≤90d | 4 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| all | 26 | +2.0% | -7.7% | 8% | 4% | -2.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -7.7% | 4% | -2.1% |
| 10% | -16.5% | 4% | -11.5% |
| 15% | -24.6% | 4% | -20.1% |
| 20% | -32.0% | 4% | -27.9% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Jun 15 | $10 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | May 21 | $8 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Apr 19 | $9 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Mar 27 | $10 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Mar 11 | $8 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Feb 18 | $9 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jan 21 | $9 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win Super Bowl 2026? | Dec 14 | $12 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Minnesota Vikings win Super Bowl 2026? | Nov 11 | $8 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Dallas Cowboys win Super Bowl 2026? | Oct 23 | $10 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Ethereum reach $8000 in September? | Sep 22 | $9 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series? | Aug 20 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Sparta Prague win the UEFA Champions League? | Aug 19 | $0 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Washington Commanders win Super Bowl 2026? | Jul 15 | $1 | $0 | -10% |
| Will the Brooklyn Nets win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Jul 13 | $93 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Sporting CP win the UEFA Champions League? | Jun 12 | $1 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Arizona Cardinals win Super Bowl 2026? | Jun 10 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Southampton wins the Premier League? | Jun 10 | $98 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | May 10 | $1 | $0 | -25% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $200k in May? | May 09 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Oilers vs. Kings | Apr 24 | $61 | +$55 | +89% |
| Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2025? | Apr 21 | $10 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Detroit Red Wings win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | Dec 26 | $0 | $0 | +0% |
| Wolverhampton Wanderers win the Premier League? | Dec 18 | $0 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Utah Hockey Club win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | Dec 17 | $0 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the LA Clippers win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Dec 03 | $289 | $0 | -0% |