trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 3 | +62.6% | +47.1% | 100% | 33% | -8.0% |
| ≤30d | 14 | +0.5% | -9.1% | 71% | 29% | -8.6% |
| ≤90d | 14 | +0.5% | -9.1% | 71% | 29% | -8.6% |
| all | 14 | +0.5% | -9.1% | 71% | 29% | -8.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.1% | 29% | -8.6% |
| 10% | -17.8% | 29% | -17.4% |
| 15% | -25.7% | 21% | -25.4% |
| 20% | -33.0% | 14% | -32.7% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will USD fall to 1.7M Iranian rials by June 30? | Jun 17 | $9,809 | +$190 | +2% |
| Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 8 and June 14, 2026? | Jun 16 | $2,203 | +$2 | +0% |
| Will MrBeast's next video get less than 45 million views on day 3? | Jun 15 | $2 | +$5 | +186% |
| Another 7.0 or above earthquake by June 30, 2026? | Jun 09 | $20 | +$10 | +47% |
| Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7? | Jun 08 | $9,970 | +$30 | +0% |
| GPT-5.6 released by June 5, 2026? | Jun 06 | $107 | +$6 | +5% |
| Ethereum flipped in 2026? | Jun 06 | $1,152 | +$1 | +0% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? | Jun 04 | $3 | $0 | -17% |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026? | Jun 04 | $2 | $0 | +24% |
| Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 1 and June 7, 2026? | Jun 02 | $6 | −$6 | -100% |
| Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwi | Jun 02 | $9 | −$9 | -100% |
| Will Russia enter Dobropillia by June 30? | Jun 01 | $5 | $0 | +3% |
| Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary? | May 27 | $32 | +$18 | +56% |
| Will James Talarico and John Cornyn be the candidates for the Texas Se | May 18 | $18 | −$18 | -98% |