Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T10:22:47+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

76
0x76d4…c512
crypto · 101 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$2,490 +14%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$55 · open −$4
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$299
Realized+$55
Unrealized−$4
Win rate (resolved)44%
Wins / losses38 / 49
Whale WR (big bets)38%
Open positions20
Markets (closed)87 / 101
Avg bet$181
Trades / day2932.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 20 History 87 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$55
7 days+$55
14 days+$55
30 days+$55
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 12? Up 90¢ 90¢ $73 $73 −$0 (-1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6AM ET Up 47¢ 46¢ $64 $63 −$1 (-2%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Down 67¢ 60¢ $30 $27 −$3 (-10%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Down 55¢ 81¢ $12 $18 +$6 (+47%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Down 80¢ 66¢ $20 $17 −$3 (-16%)
Ethereum Up or Down on June 12? Down 10¢ 8¢ $19 $16 −$3 (-14%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Up 46¢ 40¢ $18 $16 −$2 (-13%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6AM ET Up 30¢ 47¢ $9 $14 +$5 (+59%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Down 88¢ 76¢ $15 $13 −$2 (-14%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Down 86¢ 74¢ $10 $9 −$1 (-15%)
Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes 43¢ 48¢ $4 $4 +$0 (+13%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Down 64¢ 66¢ $4 $4 +$0 (+4%)
GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026? No 52¢ 97¢ $2 $4 +$2 (+86%)
XRP Up or Down on June 12? Down 5¢ 4¢ $4 $4 −$1 (-14%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6AM ET Down 72¢ 60¢ $4 $3 −$1 (-17%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Up 54¢ 32¢ $4 $2 −$2 (-42%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Up 23¢ 34¢ $1 $2 +$1 (+44%)
Fed rate hike in 2026? No 57¢ 52¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-10%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6AM ET Down 55¢ 54¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-3%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Down 58¢ 62¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+6%)
Solana Up or Down on June 12? Down 4¢ 4¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+28%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Up 8¢ 24¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+226%)
Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027? Yes 17¢ 12¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-26%)
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes 45¢ 41¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-9%)
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 12? Down 9¢ 10¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+17%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 m Jun 12 $1 −$2 -200%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6AM ET Jun 12 $32 +$4 +13%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $52 +$1 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $13 −$2 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $483 +$9 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $108 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $371 +$17 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $38 +$4 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $966 +$3 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $164 −$20 -12%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$3 -36%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $25 −$4 -16%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $25 −$1 -4%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $16 +$4 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5AM ET Jun 12 $178 +$44 +25%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5AM ET Jun 12 $74 +$4 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5AM ET Jun 12 $55 $0 -1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5AM ET Jun 12 $263 −$7 -3%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $11 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $87 +$4 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $25 −$4 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $619 −$3 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $697 −$1 -0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $54 −$2 -4%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $24 +$11 +46%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$2 -19%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $21 +$1 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$2 -15%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $96 −$4 -4%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $53 +$2 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $692 +$8 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $53 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $639 +$33 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $224 −$4 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $810 −$28 -3%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$1 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $80 +$8 +10%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $31 −$6 -20%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $75 +$2 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $26 +$12 +44%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $157 +$11 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $766 +$8 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $97 −$8 -8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $195 −$2 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $841 −$13 -2%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $96 −$4 -4%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $9 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $71 −$1 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $302 −$13 -4%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $43 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$52
other 0% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 3¢ $0 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $10 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 10¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $30 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $13 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6AM ET BUY Up 24¢ $7 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 10¢ $3 0m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 9¢ $0 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 14¢ $1 0m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 6¢ $0 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 11¢ $2 0m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $6 0m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $6 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $8 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $3 0m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $1 0m
Solana Up or Down on June 12? BUY Down 3¢ $1 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $9 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $28 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $21 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $5 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $8 0m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $1 0m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $2 1m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $4 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $4 1m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $4 1m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 12? BUY Down 9¢ $0 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $1 1m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +9%
net ROI/market (all)-10.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 87 -1.3% -10.7% 44% 9% -9.2%
≤30d 87 -1.3% -10.7% 44% 9% -9.2%
≤90d 87 -1.3% -10.7% 44% 9% -9.2%
all 87 -1.3% -10.7% 44% 9% -9.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2932.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.7% 9% -9.2%
10% ← realistic here -19.3% 7% -17.9%
15% -27.1% 5% -25.8%
20% -34.2% 0% -33.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $299.49 · official $291.47 · 3500 history records