Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T17:53:07+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

76
0x76d2…6bfc
other · 299 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$5,313 -7%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$5,378 · open +$60
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Wins small, loses big
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1,100
Realized−$5,378
Unrealized+$60
Win rate (resolved)61%
Wins / losses149 / 94
Whale WR (big bets)37%
Est. fees paid−$513
Open positions56
Markets (closed)243 / 299
History coverage212d
Avg bet$260
Trades / day13.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit72%
Chart Positions 56 History 243 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$701
7 days−$1,119
14 days−$1,119
30 days−$2,419
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 3 Winner Team Heretics Academy 75¢ 96¢ $339 $433 +$94 (+28%)
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 4 Winner UCAM Esports Club 81¢ 86¢ $109 $115 +$6 (+5%)
LoL: Solary vs G2 NORD - Game 4 Winner Solary 88¢ 71¢ $122 $99 −$24 (-19%)
Will Paula Badosa be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner? No 99¢ 100¢ $30 $31 +$0 (+1%)
Will Rafael Belaúnde Llosa win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? No 100¢ 100¢ $30 $30 +$0 (+0%)
Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election? No 96¢ 98¢ $24 $25 +$0 (+2%)
Will OpenAI have the top AI model at the end of June 2026? No 87¢ 96¢ $21 $23 +$2 (+11%)
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No 99¢ 99¢ $20 $20 +$0 (+0%)
Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026? No 85¢ 92¢ $18 $19 +$1 (+8%)
Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026? Yes 82¢ 97¢ $15 $17 +$3 (+18%)
Will Brooke Pinto win the 2026 Democratic D.C. Mayoral Primary? No 100¢ 100¢ $16 $16 +$0 (+0%)
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Turkey? No 97¢ 100¢ $16 $16 +$0 (+3%)
Will Amazon acquire TikTok? No 98¢ 99¢ $16 $16 +$0 (+1%)
Will Franco Colapinto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? No 100¢ 100¢ $15 $15 −$0 (-0%)
Will Moonshot have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026? No 100¢ 100¢ $15 $15 +$0 (+0%)
Will the Republican Party win the HI-02 House seat? No 93¢ 94¢ $14 $14 +$0 (+1%)
Will Alexander Vindman be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Florida? Yes 66¢ 93¢ $10 $14 +$4 (+41%)
Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? No 45¢ 80¢ $8 $13 +$6 (+77%)
Will Sabrina Carpenter be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026? No 98¢ 85¢ $15 $13 −$2 (-13%)
Will the Republicans win the New Mexico Senate race in 2026? No 97¢ 97¢ $13 $13 +$0 (+0%)
Will Carole Delga win the 2027 French presidential election? No 100¢ 99¢ $13 $13 −$0 (-1%)
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 100¢ 100¢ $12 $12 +$0 (+0%)
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-03 House seat? No 88¢ 86¢ $12 $12 −$0 (-2%)
Will Kyle Langford win the California Governor Election in 2026? No 100¢ 100¢ $11 $11 +$0 (+0%)
Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027? No 87¢ 81¢ $11 $10 −$1 (-6%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: Solary vs G2 NORD - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $179 +$34 +19%
LoL: Galions vs Misa Esports - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $133 +$42 +31%
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $1,163 −$141 -12%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $1,302 −$82 -6%
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $827 −$132 -16%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $2,335 −$149 -6%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $300 +$66 +22%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $1,159 +$50 +4%
LoL: Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $259 +$30 +12%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T? Jun 12 $15 +$3 +19%
LoL: Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $299 +$83 +28%
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $261 +$183 +70%
LoL: G2 NORD vs WLGaming Esports (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C Jun 12 $316 +$15 +5%
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
LoL: G2 NORD vs WLGaming Esports - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $140 +$34 +24%
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $626 −$424 -68%
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $106 +$52 +49%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner Jun 12 $4,362 −$269 -6%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner Jun 12 $523 +$138 +26%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $1,024 +$384 +38%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $1,487 −$618 -42%
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June? Jun 11 $11 −$11 -100%
LoL: LOS vs paiN Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $650 +$116 +18%
LoL: LOS vs paiN Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $3,140 +$95 +3%
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOUD - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $117 +$85 +73%
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 2 Winner Jun 10 $176 +$36 +21%
LoL: Solary vs BOMBA Team - Game 2 Winner Jun 10 $110 +$18 +16%
LoL: G2 NORD vs Partizan Sangal - Game 2 Winner Jun 10 $268 +$44 +17%
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs HMBLE - Game 2 Winner Jun 10 $595 −$104 -18%
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs HMBLE - Game 1 Winner Jun 10 $5,349 −$1,818 -34%
LoL: G2 NORD vs Partizan Sangal - Game 1 Winner Jun 10 $168 +$34 +20%
LoL: Solary vs BOMBA Team - Game 1 Winner Jun 10 $327 −$48 -15%
LoL: EDward Gaming Youth Team vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy - Game 2 W Jun 10 $337 +$172 +51%
LoL: Saigon Warriors vs Saigon Dino - Game 1 Winner Jun 10 $227 −$19 -8%
LoL: Frites Esports Club vs BOMBA Team - Game 2 Winner Jun 09 $223 +$123 +55%
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Verdant - Game 1 Winner Jun 09 $151 +$18 +12%
LoL: Frites Esports Club vs BOMBA Team - Game 1 Winner Jun 09 $1,189 −$92 -8%
LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs GOAL - Game 2 Winner Jun 09 $2,446 −$106 -4%
LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs GOAL - Game 1 Winner Jun 09 $177 +$19 +11%
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs Weibo Gaming Youth Team - Game 2 Winn Jun 09 $738 +$80 +11%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming Junior vs T1 Academy - Game 2 Winner Jun 09 $114 +$5 +4%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming Junior vs T1 Academy - Game 1 Winner Jun 09 $293 +$29 +10%
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs Top Esports Challenger - Game 2 Winner Jun 09 $114 +$14 +12%
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs Top Esports Challenger - Game 1 Winner Jun 09 $362 +$72 +20%
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026? Jun 09 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Men's French Open? Jun 09 $11 $0 +0%
Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? Jun 09 $13 $0 +0%
Will Ahn Cheol-soo win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Electi Jun 09 $17 $0 +0%
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary? Jun 09 $103 +$832 +809%
Counter-Strike: 9z vs Sharks (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs May 27 $2,307 −$2,307 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 68% −$3,846
other 16% −$856
politics 8% +$479
culture 4% −$259
world 2% −$189
tech 1% −$637
economics 1% −$4
crypto 0% −$1
weather 0% $0
finance 0% −$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS - Game 2 Winner BUY Vivo Keyd Stars 0¢ $0 3m
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 4 Winner BUY UCAM Esports Club 89¢ $57 4m
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 4 Winner BUY UCAM Esports Club 86¢ $23 8m
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 4 Winner BUY UCAM Esports Club 58¢ $12 15m
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 4 Winner BUY UCAM Esports Club 58¢ $28 16m
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 4 Winner BUY UCAM Esports Club 70¢ $119 16m
LoL: Solary vs G2 NORD - Game 4 Winner BUY Solary 88¢ $56 16m
LoL: Solary vs G2 NORD - Game 4 Winner BUY Solary 88¢ $66 16m
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 4 Winner BUY Karmine Corp Blue 59¢ $113 16m
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 4 Winner BUY Karmine Corp Blue 59¢ $2 17m
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS - Game 2 Winner BUY Vivo Keyd Stars 9¢ $2 18m
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS - Game 2 Winner BUY Vivo Keyd Stars 10¢ $47 18m
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS - Game 2 Winner BUY Vivo Keyd Stars 9¢ $2 18m
LoL: Solary vs G2 NORD - Game 3 Winner BUY Solary 0¢ $0 23m
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 3 Winner BUY Karmine Corp Blue 0¢ $0 23m
LoL: Solary vs G2 NORD - Game 3 Winner SELL G2 NORD 100¢ $151 27m
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 3 Winner SELL UCAM Esports Club 100¢ $283 28m
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS - Game 2 Winner BUY LOS 76¢ $26 31m
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS - Game 2 Winner BUY LOS 68¢ $2 32m
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS - Game 2 Winner BUY LOS 68¢ $53 32m
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 3 Winner BUY Team Heretics Academy 88¢ $8 33m
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 3 Winner BUY Team Heretics Academy 88¢ $4 33m
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 3 Winner BUY Team Heretics Academy 88¢ $8 33m
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 3 Winner BUY Team Heretics Academy 88¢ $8 33m
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 3 Winner BUY Team Heretics Academy 88¢ $8 33m
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 3 Winner BUY Team Heretics Academy 88¢ $8 33m
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 3 Winner BUY Team Heretics Academy 88¢ $8 33m
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 3 Winner BUY Team Heretics Academy 88¢ $42 33m
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 3 Winner BUY Team Heretics Academy 88¢ $8 33m
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 3 Winner BUY Team Heretics Academy 88¢ $44 33m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +26%
net ROI/market (all)-13.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 49 +19.7% +8.3% 67% 51% -12.5%
≤30d 75 +11.4% +0.8% 68% 43% -14.5%
≤90d 128 -4.2% -13.4% 66% 32% -15.2%
all 243 -4.9% -13.9% 61% 26% -16.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover13.3 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -13.9% 26% -16.8%
10% -22.2% 19% -24.8%
15% -29.7% 14% -32.0%
20% -36.6% 10% -38.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1,100.08 · official $1,100.08 (match) · 3500 history records