Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T22:24:13+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

76
0x76c7…1ed0
sports · 1119 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$1,137 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$1,137 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$1,137
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)98%
Wins / losses1095 / 24
Whale WR (big bets)100%
Est. fees paid−$47
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1119 / 1119
History coverage38d
Avg bet$74
Trades / day67.8
Drawdown12%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1119 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$322
7 days+$766
14 days+$989
30 days+$1,129
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
ITF Los Angeles: Lily Taylor vs Kaitlyn Carnicella Jun 12 $14 $0 +1%
Set 1 Winner: Aytoyan vs Ekstrand Jun 12 $59 +$1 +1%
ITF Cuiaba: Martina Capurro Taborda vs Gabriella Price Jun 12 $410 +$4 +1%
Counter-Strike: OLDBOYS- vs Donstu Esports (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europ Jun 12 $535 +$5 +1%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $535 +$5 +1%
ITF Decatur: Zuzanna Pawlikowska vs Piper Charney Jun 12 $535 +$5 +1%
Counter-Strike: OLDBOYS- vs Donstu Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $519 +$20 +4%
ITF Los Angeles: Alexandra Vagramov vs Veronica Miroshnichenko Jun 12 $104 +$1 +1%
Counter-Strike: struggletony vs XI Esport - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $530 +$10 +2%
ITF Nice: Clara Burel vs Deborah Chiesa Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs Leo Team (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group St Jun 12 $535 +$5 +1%
ITF Decatur: Ana Grubor vs Lea Ma Jun 12 $528 +$12 +2%
Counter-Strike: OLDBOYS- vs Donstu Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $535 +$5 +1%
Set 1 Winner: Kicker vs Coria Jun 12 $100 +$1 +1%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $530 +$10 +2%
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz Jun 12 $495 +$4 +1%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 12 $495 +$4 +1%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $495 +$4 +1%
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak Jun 12 $408 +$4 +1%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $495 +$4 +1%
Bratislava: Zsombor Piros vs Taro Daniel Jun 12 $58 +$1 +1%
Set 1 Winner: Jovic vs Anisimova Jun 12 $99 +$1 +1%
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron Jun 12 $495 +$4 +1%
Set 1 Winner: Perricard vs Bublik Jun 12 $60 +$1 +1%
Bratislava: Zdenek Kolar vs Federico Cina Jun 12 $495 +$4 +1%
Libema Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Magda Linette Jun 12 $495 +$4 +1%
ITF kiseljak: Sergi Perez Contri vs Yanis Ghazouani Durand Jun 12 $6 $0 +1%
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic Jun 12 $495 +$4 +1%
Set 1 Winner: Contri vs Durand Jun 12 $52 $0 +1%
Libema Open (Doubles): Pavlasek/Rikl vs Bergs/Rinderknech Jun 12 $495 +$4 +1%
Libema Open (Doubles): Arends/Pel vs Diallo/Hurkacz Jun 12 $366 +$3 +1%
Set 1 Winner: Rybakina vs Maria Jun 12 $262 +$2 +1%
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs G2 Ares - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $495 +$4 +1%
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Jun 12 $495 +$4 +1%
ITF Ceska Lipa: Daniel Dutra da Silva vs Denis Petak Jun 12 $212 +$2 +1%
Set 1 Winner: Bernet vs Schlagenhauf Jun 12 $56 $0 +1%
Set 1 Winner: Wiskandt vs Kopp Jun 12 $85 +$1 +1%
ITF Wuning: Sonja Zhiyenbayeva vs Yujia Huang Jun 12 $495 +$4 +1%
ITF Kayseri: Volodymyr Iakubenko vs Maxwell Mckennon Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Set 1 Winner: Cuenin vs Mashtakov Jun 12 $91 +$1 +1%
Set 1 Winner: Iakubenko vs Mckennon Jun 12 $17 $0 +1%
Set 1 Winner: Curbelo vs Chopra Jun 12 $302 +$3 +1%
Set 1 Winner: Morvayova vs Kubka Jun 12 $50 $0 +1%
ITF Tokyo: Eri Shimizu vs Mayuka Aikawa Jun 12 $437 +$6 +1%
Counter-Strike: Wanted Goons vs Overtake (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playoff Jun 12 $426 +$4 +1%
ITF Tokyo: Hikaru Shiraishi vs Kosuke Ogura Jun 12 $465 +$4 +1%
Counter-Strike: Wanted Goons vs Overtake - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $63 +$1 +1%
Counter-Strike: Club 333 vs Festina Lente (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playof Jun 12 $370 +$60 +16%
Counter-Strike: Wanted Goons vs Overtake - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $101 +$1 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% +$1,132
other 0% +$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
ITF Los Angeles: Lily Taylor vs Kaitlyn Carnicella SELL Kaitlyn Carnicella 100¢ $14 45m
Set 1 Winner: Aytoyan vs Ekstrand SELL Ekstrand 100¢ $40 55m
Set 1 Winner: Aytoyan vs Ekstrand SELL Ekstrand 100¢ $5 57m
Set 1 Winner: Aytoyan vs Ekstrand SELL Ekstrand 100¢ $5 57m
Set 1 Winner: Aytoyan vs Ekstrand SELL Ekstrand 100¢ $5 57m
Set 1 Winner: Aytoyan vs Ekstrand SELL Ekstrand 100¢ $5 57m
ITF Los Angeles: Lily Taylor vs Kaitlyn Carnicella BUY Kaitlyn Carnicella 99¢ $14 1h
ITF Cuiaba: Martina Capurro Taborda vs Gabriella Price SELL Martina Capurro Taborda 100¢ $414 1h
ITF Cuiaba: Martina Capurro Taborda vs Gabriella Price BUY Martina Capurro Taborda 99¢ $410 1h
Counter-Strike: OLDBOYS- vs Donstu Esports (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europ SELL OLDBOYS- 100¢ $539 1h
Counter-Strike: OLDBOYS- vs Donstu Esports (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europ BUY OLDBOYS- 99¢ $535 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag SELL Spirit 100¢ $539 2h
ITF Decatur: Zuzanna Pawlikowska vs Piper Charney SELL Zuzanna Pawlikowska 100¢ $539 2h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Spirit 99¢ $535 2h
ITF Decatur: Zuzanna Pawlikowska vs Piper Charney BUY Zuzanna Pawlikowska 99¢ $386 2h
ITF Decatur: Zuzanna Pawlikowska vs Piper Charney BUY Zuzanna Pawlikowska 99¢ $149 2h
Counter-Strike: OLDBOYS- vs Donstu Esports - Map 2 Winner SELL Donstu Esports 100¢ $539 2h
ITF Los Angeles: Alexandra Vagramov vs Veronica Miroshnichenko SELL Alexandra Vagramov 100¢ $105 2h
Counter-Strike: struggletony vs XI Esport - Map 2 Winner SELL struggletony 100¢ $5 2h
ITF Los Angeles: Alexandra Vagramov vs Veronica Miroshnichenko BUY Alexandra Vagramov 99¢ $104 2h
Counter-Strike: OLDBOYS- vs Donstu Esports - Map 2 Winner BUY Donstu Esports 96¢ $519 2h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL 9z 100¢ $539 2h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 98¢ $530 2h
Counter-Strike: struggletony vs XI Esport - Map 2 Winner BUY struggletony 99¢ $5 2h
Set 1 Winner: Aytoyan vs Ekstrand BUY Ekstrand 99¢ $59 3h
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs Leo Team (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group St SELL Ursa 100¢ $539 3h
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs Leo Team (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group St BUY Ursa 99¢ $500 3h
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs Leo Team (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group St BUY Ursa 99¢ $35 3h
ITF Decatur: Ana Grubor vs Lea Ma SELL Lea Ma 100¢ $539 3h
ITF Decatur: Ana Grubor vs Lea Ma BUY Lea Ma 98¢ $528 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +3%
net ROI/market (all)-9.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 271 +0.6% -9.0% 99% 2% -8.1%
≤30d 1064 -0.3% -9.8% 98% 3% -8.3%
≤90d 1119 -0.2% -9.7% 98% 3% -8.3%
all 1119 -0.2% -9.7% 98% 3% -8.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover67.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.7% 3% -8.3%
10% ← realistic here -18.3% 1% -17.1%
15% -26.2% 1% -25.1%
20% -33.4% 0% -32.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2756 history records