Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T05:01:26+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

76
0x76c4…54a5
crypto · 531 markets active 0h ago
4.5score
+$29 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$9 · open +$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$17
Realized+$9
Unrealized+$1
Win rate (resolved)59%
Wins / losses313 / 217
Est. fees paid−$3
Open positions1
Markets (closed)530 / 531
History coverage78d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day7.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 1 History 530 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$129
7 days+$163
14 days+$13
30 days+$35
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Up 60¢ 66¢ $16 $17 +$1 (+9%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 10, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 10, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 14 $9 +$8 +83%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$9 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 14 $9 +$7 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$8 +83%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 14 $20 −$20 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 14 $20 −$19 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 14 $20 +$15 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$13 +124%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 14 $9 +$6 +65%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 14 $18 +$13 +70%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 14 $18 +$11 +64%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 14 $9 −$9 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 14 $17 +$11 +63%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 14 $9 +$5 +62%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 14 $9 +$6 +68%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 14 $9 −$8 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 14 $9 +$9 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 14 $9 −$9 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 14 $6 +$4 +62%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 14 $18 −$18 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 14 $9 +$6 +68%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 14 $17 +$12 +71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 14 $8 +$6 +73%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 14 $8 +$8 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 14 $9 +$7 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 14 $8 +$6 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 14 $9 +$5 +62%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$8 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$8 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 13 $8 +$5 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$7 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 13 $8 +$5 +65%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$5 +62%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$8 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 13 $8 +$6 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 13 $8 +$5 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 13 $8 +$6 +70%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 13 $8 +$6 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 13 $8 +$6 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$8 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 13 $8 +$6 +70%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 90% +$122
sports 9% −$110
other 1% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $9 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $7 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $9 11m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $7 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $10 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $9 31m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $10 46m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $10 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $10 51m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $10 51m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $10 51m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $10 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $10 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $10 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $10 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $9 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $9 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $9 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $9 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $9 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $9 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $9 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $9 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $9 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $9 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $9 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $9 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $9 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $9 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +59%
net ROI/market (all)-7.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 481 +7.6% -2.6% 62% 62% -1.1%
≤30d 511 +4.3% -5.6% 60% 60% -7.6%
≤90d 530 +2.7% -7.0% 59% 59% -8.9%
all 530 +2.7% -7.0% 59% 59% -8.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover7.7 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -7.0% 59% -8.9%
10% -15.9% 59% -17.6%
15% -24.1% 58% -25.5%
20% -31.5% 58% -32.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $17.34 · official $13.24 · 955 history records