Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T21:47:14+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
76 0x76ba…31f0 crypto 947 markets active 0h ago coverage 10d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (81 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL −$9 (-0%) realized −$9 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -23% what you keep after slip
Net edge-23%after slip
Net WR3%break-even
Win rate44%414W / 533L
Drawdown78%max
Avg bet$4per market
Trades / day81.3pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$6
7 days−$5
14 days+$7
30 days+$7
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$7
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (81 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +3%
net ROI/market (all)-9.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 357 -1.2% -10.6% 55% 9% -9.9%
≤30d 947 -0.4% -9.9% 44% 3% -9.4%
≤90d 947 -0.4% -9.9% 44% 3% -9.4%
all 947 -0.4% -9.9% 44% 3% -9.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover81.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.9% 3% -9.4%
10% ← realistic here -18.5% 2% -18.0%
15% -26.4% 1% -26.0%
20% -33.6% 1% -33.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 5% · top 2 8% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
92% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -0% · $-wt +0% edge needs big-bet sizing — not flat-copyable
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +0% → late -1% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
0.5 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$2 · ×0.07 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.17 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

10d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$9
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)44%
Wins / losses414 / 533
Open positions0
Markets (closed)947 / 947
History coverage10d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day81.3
Drawdown78%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 947 Trades
no open positions (22 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $2 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $2 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $2 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $2 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $2 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $2 11h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2502 history records