trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | +49.8% | +35.6% | 100% | 100% | +35.6% |
| ≤30d | 1 | +49.8% | +35.6% | 100% | 100% | +35.6% |
| ≤90d | 18 | -2.5% | -11.7% | 33% | 28% | +23.8% |
| all | 25 | -29.8% | -36.5% | 24% | 20% | -49.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -36.5% | 20% | -49.3% |
| 10% | -42.5% | 20% | -54.1% |
| 15% | -48.1% | 20% | -58.6% |
| 20% | -53.2% | 12% | -62.6% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colombia vs. DR Congo: O/U 1.5 | Over | 71¢ | 70¢ | $500 | $496 | −$4 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Croatia (-1.5) | Jun 24 | $303 | +$151 | +50% |
| Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-05-10? | May 11 | $290 | −$286 | -99% |
| Spurs vs. Timberwolves | May 11 | $98 | −$14 | -14% |
| 76ers vs. Knicks | May 11 | $79 | +$5 | +6% |
| Lakers vs. Thunder | May 06 | $410 | −$400 | -98% |
| Spread: Spurs (-14.5) | May 06 | $506 | +$193 | +38% |
| Pistons vs. Magic | May 01 | $163 | −$160 | -98% |
| Nuggets vs. Timberwolves | May 01 | $409 | +$1,018 | +249% |
| Celtics vs. 76ers | May 01 | $304 | −$300 | -99% |
| Hawks vs. Knicks | Apr 29 | $51 | −$50 | -97% |
| Trail Blazers vs. Spurs | Apr 29 | $103 | −$100 | -98% |
| Will Deportivo Saprissa win on 2026-04-19? | Apr 19 | $100 | −$98 | -98% |
| Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-14? | Apr 14 | $95 | −$92 | -97% |
| Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Apr 12 | $147 | −$147 | -100% |
| Will Justin Rose win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Apr 12 | $200 | +$1,334 | +667% |
| Will Hao-Tong Li win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Apr 12 | $100 | −$100 | -100% |
| Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Apr 12 | $349 | +$508 | +146% |
| Will Ludvig Aberg win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Apr 09 | $100 | −$100 | -100% |
| Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | Mar 15 | $200 | −$200 | -100% |
| Will Sinners win Best Sound at the 98th Academy Awards? | Mar 15 | $500 | −$500 | -100% |
| Will J Balvin perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show? | Feb 08 | $27 | −$27 | -100% |
| Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LX be orange? | Feb 08 | $30 | −$30 | -100% |
| Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LX be blue? | Feb 08 | $30 | −$30 | -100% |
| Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of Cos | Jan 30 | $3,537 | −$3,537 | -100% |
| Will Laura Virginia Fernández Delgado win the 2026 Costa Rican preside | Jan 28 | $998 | −$998 | -100% |