trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 4 | -12.4% | -20.7% | 75% | 50% | -26.5% |
| ≤90d | 17 | -23.6% | -30.9% | 59% | 41% | -15.7% |
| all | 22 | +13.6% | +2.8% | 68% | 55% | -0.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +2.8% | 55% | -0.8% |
| 10% | -7.1% | 45% | -10.3% |
| 15% | -16.0% | 23% | -19.0% |
| 20% | -24.3% | 23% | -26.9% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? | No | 97¢ | 97¢ | $43 | $43 | +$0 (+0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | Jun 08 | $45 | −$45 | -100% |
| Prostejov: Andrej Martin vs Vit Kopriva | Jun 02 | $17 | +$3 | +17% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | Jun 01 | $41 | +$12 | +28% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | May 23 | $46 | +$2 | +5% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026? | May 16 | $40 | +$5 | +12% |
| Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30? | May 05 | $30 | +$3 | +9% |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15? | Apr 25 | $42 | +$25 | +60% |
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 15, 2026? | Apr 23 | $82 | +$3 | +4% |
| Flyers vs. Islanders | Apr 14 | $33 | −$33 | -100% |
| Timberwolves vs. Grizzlies: O/U 230.5 | Mar 30 | $14 | −$14 | -100% |
| Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026? | Mar 30 | $33 | −$33 | -100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026? | Mar 30 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET | Mar 30 | $34 | +$33 | +97% |
| Spurs vs. Mavericks | Mar 30 | $12 | −$12 | -100% |
| LoL: SK Gaming vs Los Ratones (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Season | Mar 30 | $18 | −$18 | -100% |
| Pelicans vs. Knicks | Mar 27 | $79 | +$23 | +30% |
| Raptors vs. Bulls | Mar 24 | $27 | +$10 | +35% |
| Trail Blazers vs. 76ers | Mar 18 | $19 | +$54 | +285% |
| Knicks vs. Bulls | Feb 25 | $19 | +$4 | +24% |
| Qatar Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Stefanos Tsitsipas | Feb 22 | $10 | +$26 | +257% |
| Heat vs. Pelicans | Feb 18 | $14 | +$14 | +104% |
| Qatar Total Open, Qualification: Priscilla Hon vs Camila Osorio | Feb 07 | $22 | +$7 | +32% |